NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	8.3 [164]		MVP	Manny Harris (CLE): +20.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	2.4 [873]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -20.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manny Harris	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.02	9	61%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	14	57%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.02	16	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.12
Samardo Samuels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	10	40%	-0.17	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.16

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.15	0.01	13	50%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.05
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.01	14	50%	0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.08	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	27.5	16.3	23.9	1.8	37.2	133.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -15.4%

MEM +40.0%

MEM +18.5%

MEM +6.1%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.6	111.0	118.5	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		99.5	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	17.3	16.8	16.6	16.0
MEM	17.3	14.0	16.7	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	62	61	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-14	20	15.2	17.7	-2.56	17.1	12.4	4.65
Anthony Parker	43	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-11	14	14.7	17.1	-2.47	17.0	14.1	2.87
Alonzo Gee	43	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	14.0	17.7	-3.71	16.3	14.7	1.63
Kyrie Irving	56	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-11	14	14.4	18.4	-3.98	16.9	13.1	3.80
Samardo Samuels	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	17.7	14.8	2.93	13.1	17.0	-3.90
Tristan Thompson	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	14.8	17.7	-2.93	17.0	13.1	3.90
Donald Sloan	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	18.1	14.6	3.48	13.0	17.1	-4.11
Omri Casspi	48	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	17.7	14.0	3.71	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Manny Harris	48	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	3	-14	17.1	14.7	2.47	14.1	17.0	-2.87
Luke Walton	28	30	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	8	-24	18.1	15.0	3.13	12.6	16.9	-4.35

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	44	42	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.14	22	-14	36	13.8	17.0	-3.22	16.6	15.4	1.23
Mike Conley	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	2	4	16.2	14.9	1.31	15.1	16.8	-1.63
Rudy Gay	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	9	-10	16.2	13.8	2.41	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Marc Gasol	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	16.5	14.6	1.94	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Tony Allen	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-1	10	16.4	14.0	2.42	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Lester Hudson	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	13.7	16.1	-2.42	16.9	15.7	1.22
O.J. Mayo	51	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	15.1	16.0	-0.81	16.4	15.4	1.02
Josh Selby	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	11	-14	14.1	16.0	-1.88	16.4	15.8	0.61
Marreese Speights	60	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.2	15.6	0.64
Quincy Pondexter	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	12.8	15.9	-3.18	17.0	15.8	1.18
Zach Randolph	35	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	20	-32	16.7	14.8	1.91	15.8	16.1	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.55,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 117, ATL 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.5%
LAL 101, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.92,1	92.8%
UTA 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,1	92.7%