NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	8.4 [223]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +14.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	2.2 [820]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -28.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	6	43%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	21	58%	0.06	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.11	0.00	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.29	-0.04	-0.25	-0.01	24	46%	-0.23	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	23	56%	0.15	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	17	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	25.5	16.8	28.2	1.8	37.4	136.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.8%

LAL -1.9%

BOS +5.2%

BOS +38.3%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	13.3	15.5	105.2	107.2	104.0
season	15.7	14.4		105.8	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.3		104.1	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	19.9	17.5	15.1	16.6
BOS	12.7	15.2	12.5	13.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	35	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-11	19	16.9	16.4	0.46	14.5	12.6	1.91
Tierre Brown	24	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-3	3	17.2	16.4	0.82	13.9	13.0	0.89
Luke Walton	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.08	-2	-1	-1	14.9	17.0	-2.10	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Jumaine Jones	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-4	5	17.3	16.3	1.03	13.3	13.3	0.00
Brian Cook	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	16.2	16.7	-0.50	14.0	13.1	0.99
Caron Butler	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-3	3	16.4	17.1	-0.67	13.3	13.2	0.08
Lamar Odom	84	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	16.8	15.4	1.35	12.9	16.0	-3.12
Chucky Atkins	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	16.4	17.2	-0.82	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Chris Mihm	53	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	5	-13	16.3	17.0	-0.69	12.7	13.9	-1.12
Kobe Bryant	80	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	2	-7	16.9	15.1	1.84	13.4	12.8	0.55

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	87	87	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-4	11	13.5	11.3	2.19	16.5	17.2	-0.69
Antoine Walker	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-6	15	12.7	15.0	-2.30	16.8	15.9	0.81
Paul Pierce	87	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-3	9	13.2	14.2	-1.04	16.8	15.4	1.39
Delonte West	56	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	12.8	13.9	-1.01	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Al Jefferson	37	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	4	-5	15.2	12.1	3.11	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Raef LaFrentz	46	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-4	11	11.9	14.5	-2.62	16.8	16.4	0.44
Marcus Banks	41	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	13.9	12.8	1.01	17.0	16.3	0.65
Justin Reed	22	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	11.7	13.7	-1.99	15.9	16.8	-0.95
Mark Blount	34	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	14.9	12.4	2.49	16.2	16.8	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	92.8%
IND 73, DEN 76	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.83,0.96,1	92.3%
UTA 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,1	92.3%