inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 91 Excitement2.2 [1286] MVPDarren Collison (DAL): +9.4%
Dallas Mavericks 116 Comeback1.1 [1084] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -12.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02183%0.0200.00475%0.00
Carl Landry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.000.06668%0.031-0.02771%0.00
Festus Ezeli0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.00250%0.00
Charles Jenkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.0720%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01844%-0.0100.002100%-0.00
David Lee-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02950%0.013-0.032100%0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.000.071055%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Kent Bazemore-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.041127%-0.0500.00425%-0.00
Klay Thompson-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.011439%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.120,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.022338%-0.075-0.051100%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.000.02978%0.122-0.035100%0.01
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.200.000.131676%0.0700.002100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031361%0.052-0.015100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01275%0.0310.004100%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001243%0.0100.001173%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01955%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01560%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mike James00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.03229%0.011-0.0230%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.04450%-0.0200.00667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.832.416.628.01.830.3136.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +37.0%
DAL +8.2%
GSW -3.0%
DAL +7.9%
GSW -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game15.214.115.492.9117.2104.1
season14.614.5104.6104.3
opponent15.615.3105.0103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.116.713.814.115.2
DAL13.214.015.513.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Tyler9100.00-0.500.50-0.031-262712.915.4-2.5216.013.92.15
Charles Jenkins2828-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-272913.915.7-1.8414.214.00.25
Festus Ezeli2324-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-201513.615.7-2.0414.913.81.06
Andris Biedrins2727-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-242314.515.4-0.9015.613.52.04
Richard Jefferson2120-0.11-0.390.28-0.255-303516.214.91.2914.913.81.10
Draymond Green4547-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-12-115.415.00.3814.014.1-0.13
David Lee4644-0.22-0.280.070.16-13-12-115.115.2-0.1213.914.2-0.37
Kent Bazemore4241-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-11-315.415.00.3213.314.6-1.33
Harrison Barnes6060-0.34-0.16-0.190.24-20-5-1515.315.00.3313.515.0-1.49
Klay Thompson6870-0.35-0.15-0.200.32-23-2-2115.614.21.4014.313.50.78
Stephen Curry6465-0.41-0.09-0.310.24-22-3-1915.414.70.7613.914.4-0.52
Carl Landry5759-0.47-0.03-0.440.17-22-3-1915.614.60.9313.614.7-1.10

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elton Brand60590.51-0.010.51-0.4332-73912.915.9-3.0116.213.72.50
Vince Carter45460.400.100.31-0.3626-12712.015.8-3.7616.913.73.24
O.J. Mayo75760.380.120.26-0.322412313.815.0-1.2814.816.3-1.48
Darren Collison69690.330.170.16-0.312231913.714.9-1.1415.215.20.00
Shawn Marion64650.300.200.10-0.322141713.914.5-0.6014.716.2-1.47
Dirk Nowitzki52510.220.28-0.070.07520-1515.412.62.8115.315.00.33
Dahntay Jones23200.160.34-0.180.02520-1514.314.00.3016.414.81.60
Mike James880.110.39-0.27-0.09718-1114.014.1-0.0816.015.10.90
Rodrigue Beaubois22210.050.45-0.390.17-429-3315.213.81.4314.915.3-0.40
Jae Crowder27260.040.46-0.420.16-429-3315.113.71.4814.215.5-1.34
Brandan Wright17160.000.50-0.500.12-429-3315.613.81.8312.615.7-3.05
Dominique Jones870.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2114.614.00.6010.915.5-4.65
Bernard James2526-0.010.51-0.510.20-732-3916.713.23.5414.515.4-0.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, NOP 1350.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
BOS 96, SAC 1260.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
PHI 76, WAS 1110.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%