NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	1.6 [1255]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +10.2%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	1.2 [924]		LVP	Tyus Edney (SAC): -6.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.00	1	0.00	15	80%	0.01
Brett Szabo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.06	9	68%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	12	45%	-0.04	3	-0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	13	45%	0.02	6	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01
Greg Minor	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.00	0.07	17	79%	0.12	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.00	0.09	11	79%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.15	0.00	0.13	8	94%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	78%	0.00	3	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	24.6	16.4	26.6	2.3	25.7	121.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.8%

BOS -0.9%

SAC +1.7%

SAC +14.1%

SAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	14.0	15.6	91.4	123.5	104.4
season	14.8	15.4		101.8	102.4
opponent	15.4	14.7		106.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	14.8	15.0	11.4	13.8
SAC	13.1	16.5	13.2	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-23	16	11.1	14.3	-3.20	12.4	14.3	-1.84
Todd Day	62	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-25	20	12.7	15.4	-2.72	13.3	14.9	-1.54
Marty Conlon	48	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.38	-18	-12	-6	14.4	13.4	1.03	14.8	13.3	1.52
Alton Lister	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	-12	-6	16.9	12.8	4.06	12.8	14.4	-1.54
Greg Minor	47	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-18	6	14.9	13.0	1.91	15.5	12.8	2.67
Eric Williams	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-15	0	13.8	13.8	-0.00	12.0	16.2	-4.18
Antoine Walker	66	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.38	-22	-8	-14	13.6	14.3	-0.67	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Rick Fox	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-17	4	13.2	14.5	-1.35	14.8	13.2	1.55
Dino Radja	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-14	-2	13.5	14.4	-0.95	14.0	14.0	-0.02
David Wesley	85	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.22	-24	-6	-18	14.2	12.3	1.84	14.7	10.8	3.93

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	53	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.46	32	-2	34	14.8	13.2	1.59	15.1	12.5	2.62
Olden Polynice	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.48	32	-2	34	14.8	13.2	1.59	15.3	12.3	2.96
Mitch Richmond	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.50	30	0	30	13.9	14.0	-0.10	15.1	12.5	2.57
Michael Smith	50	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.61	33	-3	36	13.6	14.4	-0.84	15.3	12.4	2.95
Tyus Edney	51	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.47	27	3	24	13.0	15.0	-2.06	14.7	12.9	1.81
Corliss Williamson	55	58	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	19	-8	14.8	13.1	1.68	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	25	-20	14.8	13.4	1.46	13.9	13.8	0.12
Kevin Gamble	58	61	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	26	-22	13.9	14.0	-0.10	12.9	15.2	-2.35
Kevin Salvadori	37	40	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	34	-38	12.2	15.0	-2.83	11.4	15.3	-3.90
Bobby Hurley	30	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	40	-50	13.3	14.3	-0.98	11.3	14.9	-3.57
Devin Gray	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	40	-50	14.2	13.9	0.32	10.4	15.0	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, SAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
ATL 65, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
BOS 72, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%