NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	1.9 [1300]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): +1.8%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	1.3 [1310]		LVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): -8.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Henry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	33%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	0.00	0.08	16	51%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	17	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	69%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.08	11	68%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	9	72%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	26.3	15.5	24.4	2.7	26.0	122.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.4%

LAL -0.8%

SAS +7.3%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	12.6	15.8	15.1	83.3	117.8	105.2
season	14.0	15.0		102.9	109.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	12.8	12.8	11.2	12.6
SAS	13.2	16.7	16.6	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-24	14	12.5	12.7	-0.18	16.1	15.4	0.70
Robert Sacre	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.24	-15	-19	4	11.5	13.6	-2.12	16.1	15.6	0.55
Xavier Henry	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-20	6	11.9	13.0	-1.07	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-24	14	12.1	13.2	-1.11	17.2	14.2	3.03
Pau Gasol	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.26	-19	-15	-4	13.6	11.5	2.12	15.6	16.1	-0.55
Ryan Kelly	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-16	-2	13.0	11.8	1.22	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Jordan Farmar	44	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.37	-24	-10	-14	12.7	12.5	0.18	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Jodie Meeks	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.57	-31	-3	-28	12.8	12.1	0.70	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Wesley Johnson	74	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.48	-29	-5	-24	12.7	12.2	0.55	15.0	17.8	-2.88

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	14	6	14.7	17.2	-2.58	12.8	12.3	0.46
Tim Duncan	32	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.28	20	14	6	14.8	16.3	-1.46	14.1	11.9	2.19
Manu Ginobili	30	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	22	-10	15.3	16.0	-0.73	12.7	12.5	0.22
Marco Belinelli	42	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	15	4	16.6	15.3	1.34	11.9	13.1	-1.26
Boris Diaw	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	22	-10	16.6	15.4	1.13	12.1	12.8	-0.74
Kawhi Leonard	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	18	-2	14.8	16.6	-1.72	13.9	11.6	2.30
Danny Green	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.28	17	17	0	15.5	16.1	-0.54	13.2	12.0	1.18
Tiago Splitter	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	19	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.26	12.7	12.5	0.19
Matt Bonner	53	53	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.49	21	13	8	16.0	15.6	0.48	12.7	12.5	0.17
Tony Parker	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	26	-18	15.5	16.0	-0.49	13.4	12.2	1.21
Aron Baynes	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	31	-28	15.9	15.7	0.21	12.2	12.8	-0.61
Patty Mills	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	29	-24	18.6	14.6	4.01	10.5	13.5	-2.99
Jeff Ayres	31	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	32	-30	16.6	15.5	1.16	10.5	13.4	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
BOS 96, SAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
BOS 72, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%