NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	65		Excitement	1.4 [1253]		MVP	Glen Rice (NYK): +8.0%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.2 [1167]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -8.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hanno Mottola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	36%	0.01	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	7	33%	-0.02	5	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	55%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	46%	-0.04	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	13	43%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	16	61%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	62%	0.05	3	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	13	29%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	12	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.0	25.2	16.5	24.4	2.5	23.8	115.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.8%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +2.0%

NYK +12.0%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.5	73.0	114.8	100.9
season	15.4	16.4		96.0	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.1		96.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.4	17.9	14.5	15.5	16.3
NYK	14.5	18.1	15.5	17.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	34	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-29	22	15.8	16.5	-0.75	14.8	17.2	-2.48
DerMarr Johnson	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.38	-19	-17	-2	17.1	15.4	1.71	16.9	15.7	1.16
Cal Bowdler	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.36	-19	-17	-2	15.8	16.5	-0.71	15.0	17.1	-2.13
Alan Henderson	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-20	4	16.0	16.6	-0.64	17.4	15.0	2.41
Hanno Mottola	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.34	-20	-16	-4	16.6	16.0	0.64	15.0	17.4	-2.41
Nazr Mohammed	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-19	2	16.5	15.8	0.71	17.1	15.0	2.13
Brevin Knight	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.49	-29	-7	-22	16.5	15.8	0.75	17.2	14.8	2.48
Dion Glover	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	-9	-18	16.4	15.8	0.61	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Jason Terry	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.33	-26	-10	-16	15.5	17.9	-2.38	15.9	17.1	-1.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	64	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.46	33	3	30	16.0	16.9	-0.87	16.4	15.8	0.58
Glen Rice	67	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	6	24	15.7	18.0	-2.32	16.4	15.7	0.73
Othella Harrington	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.51	34	2	32	16.3	16.2	0.12	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Kurt Thomas	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.38	28	8	20	15.6	17.8	-2.15	16.5	15.7	0.80
Mark Jackson	75	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.36	23	13	10	15.8	19.0	-3.19	15.7	20.0	-4.32
Charlie Ward	35	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.19	13	23	-10	16.6	16.1	0.57	17.0	15.7	1.22
Felton Spencer	32	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.28	12	24	-12	18.3	15.1	3.24	16.7	16.1	0.62
Rick Brunson	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	17.3	16.0	1.32	15.5	16.5	-1.07
Travis Knight	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	32	-28	18.5	15.9	2.57	16.4	16.2	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 78, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
DEN 95, HOU 125	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
PHX 79, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%