inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 117 Excitement11.9 [20] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +78.1%
Dallas Mavericks 114 Comeback2.7 [546] LVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): -15.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.780,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.49,0.43,0.780.200.590.013163%0.964-0.1821100%0.29
Nick Collison0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00667%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02-0.010.020.032651%0.114-0.13978%0.02
DeAndre Liggins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.001046%-0.001-0.024100%0.04
Kendrick Perkins-0.090,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.060.00333%-0.021-0.0700%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0140%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.001339%-0.064-0.09250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.320.320.210.10-0.011771%0.3200.00771%0.02
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.170.17-0.020.200.011647%0.343-0.17683%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.04-0.01868%0.101-0.06683%0.01
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.07-0.001142%0.071-0.032100%0.02
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.17,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01771%0.173-0.1500%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,00.00-0.080.08-0.001938%0.021-0.02989%-0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.00580%0.064-0.1400%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.030.02560%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.838.117.633.33.640.01.616.0179.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -25.5%
OKC +25.8%
OKC +34.1%
OKC +8.6%
OKC +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game15.513.915.4108.3104.6104.1
season14.814.5109.3104.3
opponent15.615.5105.0100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC13.815.715.515.818.915.5
DAL15.012.014.513.714.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha51510.86-0.361.210.5311-81914.716.2-1.4714.413.40.94
Russell Westbrook90920.51-0.010.510.336-3915.515.30.2214.112.81.29
Kendrick Perkins61610.460.040.420.52-25-715.515.5-0.0114.013.60.37
Serge Ibaka89900.410.090.320.50-36-915.714.21.5814.013.40.59
Kevin Durant1001020.410.090.320.44-14-515.810.75.0913.715.6-1.84
DeAndre Liggins20220.140.36-0.22-0.129-61514.015.8-1.8013.613.9-0.33
Reggie Jackson1817-0.010.51-0.510.08-36-915.315.5-0.2212.814.1-1.29
Nick Collison4645-0.010.51-0.53-0.0721115.615.40.1813.614.1-0.51
Kevin Martin6565-0.270.77-1.03-0.15-47-1115.515.40.0713.614.2-0.51

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder18190.29-0.791.080.232-5713.314.0-0.6215.215.5-0.37
Dahntay Jones129-0.01-0.490.470.05-2-1-112.414.0-1.6117.115.31.80
Chris Kaman3535-0.04-0.460.410.04-30-313.114.2-1.0914.715.8-1.15
Shawn Marion5757-0.07-0.430.360.25-118-1914.113.50.6015.215.7-0.50
Darren Collison6262-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-3314.413.11.3515.215.8-0.59
Elton Brand7372-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.312-5714.213.11.0715.715.00.74
Vince Carter6767-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.6210-132313.514.5-1.0115.515.40.08
Dirk Nowitzki8282-0.580.08-0.66-0.52-2-1-114.312.61.7215.714.80.81
O.J. Mayo9392-0.600.10-0.71-0.46-52-713.714.6-0.9015.316.6-1.29
Mike James4645-0.720.22-0.94-0.55-63-913.414.2-0.8416.115.01.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.33,0.57,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 97, MEM 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.08,087.6%
CHA 111, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.15,087.6%
WAS 114, BKN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.08,087.0%