NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	12.2 [21]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +27.6%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	2.0 [795]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -61.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.29,0.28	0.09	0.19	0.01	13	62%	0.29	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.08
Jason Smith	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	9	60%	0.23	0	0.00	7	57%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	10	58%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.04,-0.11,-0.22,-0.2	0.05	-0.24	0.01	25	57%	-0.06	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
John Wall	-0.61	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.49,-0.55,-0.55,-0.55,-0.57,-0.61	-0.11	-0.51	-0.01	24	40%	-0.39	3	-0.23	10	80%	0.06

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	12	48%	0.17	1	-0.10	5	40%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	17	53%	0.13	2	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.01	7	72%	0.12	2	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.11	0.03	18	49%	-0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	29.3	15.4	24.5	2.4	37.8	1.6	21.8	157.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -43.4%

WAS +26.1%

WAS +43.5%

WAS +22.4%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.8	106.5	102.8	107.7
season	14.4	13.7		109.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	12.8	13.8	15.4	18.0	15.6	15.0
BKN	17.2	13.9	16.6	14.1	9.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-4	12	15.0	14.8	0.21	14.3	16.2	-1.90
John Wall	91	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	15.4	12.7	2.61	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Marcin Gortat	83	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-2	8	14.9	15.2	-0.30	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Bradley Beal	83	85	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	15.0	14.7	0.34	14.3	16.6	-2.38
Jason Smith	46	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-6	16	14.9	15.0	-0.18	16.4	13.7	2.72
Ian Mahinmi	23	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	15.9	14.7	1.14	16.4	14.3	2.09
Tomas Satoransky	31	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.1	14.3	1.81
Trey Burke	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	13.9	15.4	-1.48	15.7	14.4	1.24
Kelly Oubre Jr.	57	58	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	9	-14	14.3	15.7	-1.37	14.7	14.8	-0.13

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	34	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.07	4	-8	12	14.6	14.8	-0.28	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Isaiah Whitehead	39	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	4	-12	16.2	13.9	2.25	14.6	15.2	-0.67
Sean Kilpatrick	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	16.5	14.0	2.56	15.0	15.0	0.04
Joe Harris	36	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	16.9	13.7	3.23	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	67	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-4	4	13.8	16.3	-2.52	14.9	15.1	-0.28
Brook Lopez	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-6	8	15.1	14.2	0.84	14.9	15.1	-0.28
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-9	14	13.7	16.9	-3.23	15.0	14.9	0.12
Justin Hamilton	30	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	0	-4	15.3	14.5	0.72	15.0	14.9	0.08
Trevor Booker	52	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	2	-8	15.2	14.3	0.98	15.2	14.7	0.47
Randy Foye	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	13.9	15.6	-1.70	15.1	14.9	0.17
Caris LeVert	54	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	13.6	15.9	-2.33	15.7	14.2	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.1,0	91.7%
BOS 98, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	89.6%
LAC 111, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.46,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	89.2%