inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 107 Excitement9.7 [68] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +49.2%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback11.9 [110] LVPMichael Doleac (ORL): -29.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.490,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.49,0.490.080.40-0.002268%0.574-0.081369%-0.01
Rick Fox0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.00965%0.121-0.032100%0.01
Brian Shaw0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.020.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.07-0.00450%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Travis Knight0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ron Harper-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12-0.11-0.000.00830%-0.032-0.094100%0.02
Glen Rice-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.130.04-0.150.021862%0.033-0.156100%0.02
Kobe Bryant-0.230,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.07-0.160.001050%0.094-0.322100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.160.16-0.010.17-0.001350%0.262-0.1000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.140.140.010.13-0.012057%0.234-0.092100%0.02
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00650%-0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00633%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.00647%-0.101-0.02333%-0.12
Ron Mercer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.08-0.001242%0.012-0.16250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.021537%-0.132-0.0300%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.03-0.27-0.001453%-0.093-0.202100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.426.816.023.52.041.32.521.1160.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +53.5%
LAL +24.6%
ORL -24.5%
ORL -5.1%
LAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALORLNBALALORLNBA
this game16.414.015.2102.994.3101.7
season15.313.6105.6100.4
opponent15.415.199.398.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL16.117.318.915.412.816.4
ORL13.313.513.814.615.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher73700.58-0.080.650.2810-21216.416.5-0.0114.113.80.26
Glen Rice77760.54-0.040.590.1912-41616.217.1-0.8514.014.00.05
Shaquille O'Neal93910.390.110.270.3617-616.515.80.7014.013.70.33
Rick Fox46490.370.130.250.2935-216.316.6-0.2514.213.80.46
Travis Knight460.210.29-0.080.0071619.516.33.1816.713.82.83
A.C. Green44440.150.35-0.19-0.0262417.415.71.6413.714.2-0.59
Kobe Bryant7776-0.000.50-0.50-0.0008-817.413.83.5513.615.1-1.52
Ron Harper2427-0.030.53-0.560.03-210-1215.616.7-1.0614.513.80.70
Robert Horry4343-0.060.56-0.630.02-311-1415.617.0-1.4713.714.2-0.47
Brian Shaw2833-0.150.65-0.80-0.09-210-1216.016.6-0.5613.614.2-0.57

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corey Maggette37340.09-0.590.68-0.065-131813.014.5-1.5417.316.01.31
Michael Doleac61600.00-0.500.50-0.093-111414.113.80.3516.716.10.61
Ben Wallace3532-0.02-0.480.460.27-102-1214.313.90.3917.615.91.71
Monty Williams3231-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-6414.113.90.1815.616.8-1.18
John Amaechi3736-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-1-613.014.5-1.5017.116.11.02
Chucky Atkins4043-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.260-8813.614.3-0.6915.017.5-2.54
Bo Outlaw7066-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-102-1214.113.80.2617.215.12.19
Darrell Armstrong7172-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.19-7-1-613.914.2-0.3016.316.8-0.58
Ron Mercer6870-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-135-1814.513.01.5416.017.3-1.31
Pat Garrity7476-0.620.12-0.73-0.651-91014.413.01.4616.117.4-1.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 114, BKN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.08,091.7%
TOR 114, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.28,090.7%
SEA 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,090.5%