inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 114 Excitement11.1 [26] MVPRudy Gay (MEM): +40.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback1.6 [160] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -38.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Forbes0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.180.110.06-0.01969%0.321-0.141164%-0.06
Jerryd Bayless0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.090.10-0.000.021765%0.293-0.20978%0.05
Amir Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.090.060.030.00490%0.111-0.03250%-0.02
James Johnson0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00882%0.175-0.111100%0.01
Ed Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00250%0.033-0.10250%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.01-0.10-0.011650%-0.032-0.064100%0.02
Andrea Bargnani-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.06-0.011742%-0.085-0.11989%0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.410.040.37-0.012059%0.524-0.12475%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.070.011460%0.1800.001450%-0.07
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.060.00050%0.081-0.04450%-0.05
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00543%-0.0000.00450%-0.04
Tony Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01150%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.06-0.070.021764%0.064-0.091060%-0.06
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.01217%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21-0.21-0.05-0.160.001045%-0.003-0.212100%0.03
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.07,-0.19,-0.33-0.33-0.08-0.250.00617%-0.241-0.0900%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.38-0.38-0.09-0.280.01735%-0.113-0.27967%-0.23
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.32.632.415.628.42.052.71.826.6188.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +6.2%
TOR +23.9%
TOR +15.0%
TOR +5.0%
MEM -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game16.612.815.6105.6100.9102.8
season16.515.698.9102.0
opponent15.715.2100.1102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR18.218.216.215.812.816.6
MEM13.912.914.411.99.812.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan93960.61-0.110.720.436-2816.417.5-1.1112.712.9-0.19
Andrea Bargnani84840.450.050.410.286-2815.719.6-3.9212.314.2-1.83
Amir Johnson56560.310.190.110.2813-215.817.4-1.5612.013.5-1.47
James Johnson58580.290.210.070.38-37-1016.616.6-0.0513.112.40.64
Aaron Gray28290.280.220.050.019-51418.116.02.0715.111.93.25
Gary Forbes47500.240.26-0.020.018-41216.216.8-0.6011.214.1-2.90
Jerryd Bayless90910.220.28-0.070.30-37-1016.019.2-3.1812.812.60.24
Linas Kleiza37350.180.32-0.140.0640418.315.72.6213.712.31.33
Jamaal Magloire2827-0.010.51-0.520.08-37-1017.616.21.4413.612.51.07
Ed Davis1919-0.060.56-0.620.08-59-1419.615.93.7113.412.60.81

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay79800.27-0.771.040.096-101613.411.02.4216.417.1-0.72
Hamed Haddadi910-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-5612.612.8-0.2118.216.41.79
Zach Randolph5353-0.10-0.400.30-0.317-111812.313.2-0.8814.918.2-3.31
O.J. Mayo7171-0.18-0.320.14-0.356-101611.814.5-2.7215.718.2-2.42
Marreese Speights1617-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-62-814.412.51.9017.916.31.55
Tony Allen3738-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-128-2013.612.31.2818.115.72.36
Dante Cunningham4241-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-117-1813.012.60.4418.815.23.56
Marc Gasol9693-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-2-2012.812.60.1616.517.2-0.73
Mike Conley9489-0.570.07-0.65-0.37-73-1012.911.71.1816.417.2-0.77
Quincy Pondexter4848-0.640.14-0.78-0.58-2-2011.813.5-1.6816.516.6-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 107, SEA 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.08,090.8%
LAL 107, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.1,090.7%
ATL 99, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.39,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,090.5%