NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	8.1 [181]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +13.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.8 [710]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -31.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.01	19	59%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	10	54%	0.21	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	11	42%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	0.00	11	39%	-0.05	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32	-0.10	-0.19	0.02	20	45%	-0.26	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.12	0.01	25	43%	0.12	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.24
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	12	57%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.12	0.02	16	35%	-0.12	1	-0.13	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	41.3	1.8	28.0	15.0	27.2	1.8	38.1	1.5	14.2	169.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.1%

SEA -28.2%

DAL +35.1%

SEA -2.7%

DAL +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.5	98.2	92.5	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		104.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	17.6	12.7	16.2	13.8	16.9	15.1
SEA	13.2	16.2	15.8	12.4	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	88	87	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.46	17	-9	26	16.2	10.7	5.54	14.9	11.7	3.14
Shawn Bradley	63	62	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-11	30	15.2	15.1	0.05	15.2	13.0	2.17
Dirk Nowitzki	97	94	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-4	16	15.1	15.2	-0.13	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Michael Finley	94	93	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	6	-4	15.2	14.9	0.31	13.7	18.0	-4.26
Calvin Booth	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	13	-18	18.2	14.0	4.18	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Steve Nash	68	66	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	14	-20	14.8	15.6	-0.80	12.1	17.8	-5.68
Howard Eisley	57	55	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.24	8	0	8	13.9	16.5	-2.64	16.2	12.3	3.95
Vernon Maxwell	48	48	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.17	-7	15	-22	13.1	16.7	-3.60	14.0	14.5	-0.47

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	21	24	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.29	0	-8	8	14.0	14.4	-0.31	10.6	16.4	-5.84
Rashard Lewis	69	71	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-13	18	12.5	17.6	-5.05	15.9	13.8	2.07
Desmond Mason	73	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-12	16	13.0	17.2	-4.22	15.3	14.9	0.41
Olumide Oyedeji	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.6	13.3	4.29	15.5	15.0	0.41
Brent Barry	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.2	12.3	2.88	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Gary Payton	102	104	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.2	17.0	-2.83	15.3	12.0	3.29
Emanual Davis	55	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	6	-20	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.4	14.9	0.49
Patrick Ewing	82	83	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.44	-15	7	-22	14.9	12.2	2.69	15.9	12.6	3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.46,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.43,0,0	91.6%
TOR 114, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.28,0	90.8%
MIA 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,0	90.4%