NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	113		Excitement	9.9 [58]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +28.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.7 [408]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -15.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.22	0.06	-0.01	14	88%	0.36	1	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.00	9	72%	0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	14	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	22	58%	0.13	4	-0.14	13	46%	-0.16
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Jim McIlvaine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	12	33%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.07	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	29	63%	0.13	5	-0.16	12	50%	-0.24
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	13	45%	-0.12	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	2.7	29.3	15.8	23.6	2.8	33.1	2.3	17.6	154.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +96.0%

LAL -24.3%

LAL -37.0%

SEA +2.9%

SEA +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.6	115.3	110.2	102.5
season	15.3	14.8		109.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.2		102.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	12.2	16.2	17.0	20.3	13.5	15.8
LAL	17.3	15.8	14.4	20.8	15.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	81	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-4	13	15.9	15.2	0.70	16.9	15.6	1.26
Sam Perkins	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-3	11	16.2	15.2	0.96	15.9	17.6	-1.72
Detlef Schrempf	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	0	5	15.7	16.0	-0.30	17.0	15.7	1.28
Gary Payton	91	91	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	3	-1	16.1	12.3	3.80	16.6	17.3	-0.70
Greg Anthony	13	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	4	-3	17.6	15.5	2.07	18.2	16.4	1.75
Dale Ellis	52	51	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	10	-15	17.1	14.3	2.77	16.8	16.4	0.40
Jim McIlvaine	25	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	4	-3	13.7	16.5	-2.87	17.0	16.5	0.51
David Wingate	15	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	10.7	16.7	-6.00	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Hersey Hawkins	64	64	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	3	-1	16.1	15.2	0.93	16.5	17.0	-0.52
Aaron Williams	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	14.7	15.9	-1.19	17.0	16.6	0.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	77	77	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-14	23	16.0	19.0	-3.07	16.2	14.4	1.83
Derek Fisher	37	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-8	11	15.5	17.3	-1.80	17.0	15.2	1.86
Eddie Jones	46	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-8	11	17.0	16.3	0.77	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Shaquille O'Neal	75	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-11	17	16.6	16.6	0.03	16.2	14.3	1.89
Corie Blount	24	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	18.5	16.0	2.47	16.2	15.7	0.52
Elden Campbell	26	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	8	-21	16.7	16.6	0.03	13.4	16.6	-3.18
Kobe Bryant	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-5	5	16.7	16.5	0.13	16.6	13.4	3.23
Nick Van Exel	61	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	3	-11	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.2	17.0	-1.86
Rick Fox	72	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	11	-27	16.4	17.3	-0.87	15.0	18.4	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, ORL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.54,0.76,0.63,0.22,0.26,0	91.3%
SAC 112, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.5,0.48,0.61,0.23,0.09,0	90.8%
CHI 95, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.26,0	90.6%