inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 95 Excitement9.1 [99] MVPCharlie Villanueva (DET): +38.0%
Detroit Pistons 92 Comeback1.6 [727] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -31.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0.150,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.14,0.14,0,0.150.130.040.022063%0.302-0.15978%0.01
Keith Bogans0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.04-0.01475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07-0.030.09-0.01433%0.091-0.021100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.07-0.01744%0.111-0.04450%-0.02
Kyle Korver0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03-0.030.05-0.01325%0.0300.002100%0.03
Omer Asik0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Taj Gibson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.04-0.02828%0.0100.00250%-0.01
CJ Watson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.04-0.00530%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.011529%-0.1100.00425%-0.06
Derrick Rose-0.320,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32-0.13-0.20-0.012344%-0.146-0.18683%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.380.38-0.040.430.011537%0.3800.002100%0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01133%-0.011-0.02450%-0.05
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00629%-0.0500.002100%0.02
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00633%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.04-0.120.011358%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,-0.11-0.100.07-0.150.021255%-0.1100.00580%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.100.001450%-0.062-0.062100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0,-0.23,-0.23-0.230.00-0.220.011555%0.123-0.351100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.329.616.727.12.435.52.415.4155.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +20.6%
CHI +5.0%
CHI +17.5%
CHI +9.0%
DET -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game16.616.615.597.997.9105.7
season15.716.7106.5106.4
opponent15.215.9110.199.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI16.215.516.418.716.516.6
DET17.417.216.317.313.516.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kurt Thomas56540.80-0.301.100.4811-81916.317.1-0.7315.817.8-2.00
Carlos Boozer67660.73-0.230.970.537-41116.217.6-1.3816.716.50.16
Derrick Rose79750.56-0.060.630.309-61515.720.9-5.2716.118.8-2.75
Luol Deng81790.50-0.000.510.394-1516.318.3-1.9916.517.5-1.05
Keith Bogans27250.250.250.01-0.0410-71716.416.7-0.3417.416.41.08
Kyle Korver26280.150.35-0.210.0921117.216.40.7916.616.7-0.11
Ronnie Brewer60560.090.41-0.310.39-1013-2316.916.20.7916.616.8-0.19
CJ Watson19200.030.47-0.440.15-47-1119.915.94.0418.016.31.72
Omer Asik1515-0.090.59-0.680.03-47-1121.515.85.7018.716.32.40
Taj Gibson5452-0.250.75-0.99-0.01-811-1916.816.50.2517.216.01.17
Brian Scalabrine10-0.290.79-1.08-0.23-25-70.016.8-16.820.016.6-16.65

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon33360.05-0.550.59-0.012-5716.116.9-0.8116.017.0-0.99
Rodney Stuckey6570-0.06-0.440.38-0.298-111916.616.8-0.2116.916.00.95
Richard Hamilton5354-0.08-0.420.340.01-30-317.615.42.1917.116.10.92
Charlie Villanueva5258-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-41-515.917.6-1.6715.318.7-3.46
Greg Monroe3637-0.23-0.270.05-0.17-2-1-118.215.72.4617.516.11.40
Ben Wallace4042-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-74-1116.916.40.5216.316.9-0.68
Tracy McGrady5051-0.24-0.260.03-0.385-81316.516.8-0.3617.315.91.44
Jason Maxiell3935-0.25-0.250.01-0.333-6917.216.30.9518.915.43.54
Tayshaun Prince6365-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-30-316.018.0-2.0615.918.1-2.20
Will Bynum2927-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.12-118-1916.816.60.2116.016.9-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,090.6%
LAL 104, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.05,090.4%
BOS 98, TOR 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,090.3%