NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	8.1 [195]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +11.5%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	2.6 [487]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -22.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.09,0.11	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	4	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.04	0.07	-0.05	-0.02	29	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.08
Mike Penberthy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Ron Harper	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.14	-0.02	17	62%	-0.03	3	-0.08	11	36%	-0.23

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	11	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.05	0.05	14	41%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	32	44%	-0.18	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	37.2	16.5	23.9	1.8	34.0	1.6	19.2	160.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +96.4%

TOR -22.9%

TOR -25.0%

TOR -3.4%

LAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	103.0	99.0	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		106.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.6	13.5	14.3	18.7	16.0	15.3
TOR	16.1	16.5	18.4	12.6	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	47	47	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-16	35	15.2	15.4	-0.27	17.2	15.0	2.15
Ron Harper	56	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.19	10	-7	17	14.6	16.3	-1.71	16.4	15.5	0.82
Kobe Bryant	98	100	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	15.5	9.0	6.51	15.9	19.0	-3.05
Shaquille O'Neal	72	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	15.8	14.1	1.70	15.9	16.3	-0.34
Horace Grant	64	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-7	17	14.5	16.8	-2.27	16.5	15.3	1.24
Mike Penberthy	35	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	3	-3	16.3	14.8	1.53	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Robert Horry	38	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	12	-21	15.8	15.0	0.76	15.4	16.4	-1.08
Greg Foster	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.84	16.9	15.7	1.17
Brian Shaw	48	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.39	-14	17	-31	16.3	14.4	1.86	14.6	17.3	-2.73
Isaiah Rider	20	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	13.6	15.7	-2.14	16.4	15.9	0.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	41	41	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.02	17	-20	37	14.3	17.2	-2.87	16.6	14.4	2.18
Antonio Davis	74	74	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-5	7	16.1	15.7	0.46	15.6	14.5	1.14
Alvin Williams	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-9	15	14.8	17.1	-2.26	16.0	14.7	1.38
Charles Oakley	75	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-8	13	15.6	17.2	-1.60	15.4	15.1	0.29
Corliss Williamson	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	17.3	15.2	2.08	14.9	15.6	-0.61
Mark Jackson	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	6	-15	16.8	15.1	1.64	14.3	16.5	-2.13
Vince Carter	91	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.5	20.1	-4.57	15.4	14.7	0.74
Morris Peterson	27	28	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	12	-27	18.3	15.2	3.06	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Kevin Willis	49	49	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.45	-14	11	-25	16.6	15.4	1.20	14.4	16.2	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 118, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.43,0,0	93.2%
CHI 95, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.26,0	90.4%
WAS 147, LAL 141	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	90.3%