NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	8.9 [106]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +21.5%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	3.0 [209]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -32.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.15	-0.02	12	58%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.07	0.03	13	77%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	9	60%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.01	11	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	67%	0.07	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33	-0.10	-0.22	0.00	8	55%	-0.02	5	-0.31	6	67%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	7	75%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	5	77%	0.07	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	25	47%	-0.04	1	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.01	12	48%	-0.14	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	33.5	15.6	24.3	2.4	34.2	1.6	20.0	159.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +80.2%

DET -8.6%

LAC +6.0%

DET -18.7%

DET -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.5	107.8	105.0	100.9
season	16.1	14.3		99.5	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	14.8	19.0	15.9	17.2	16.0	16.6
DET	13.4	15.3	16.1	14.1	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	83	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	16.5	16.8	-0.33	15.4	11.5	3.93
Jeff McInnis	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	16.3	18.2	-1.98	14.8	13.6	1.20
Eric Piatkowski	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	16.8	15.8	1.03	14.8	13.9	0.86
Sean Rooks	39	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	4	-3	16.6	16.6	0.01	12.8	15.8	-2.94
Lamar Odom	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	16.6	16.6	-0.03	14.9	14.3	0.60
Corey Maggette	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-5	15	15.5	17.7	-2.16	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Michael Olowokandi	63	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	1	3	16.7	16.4	0.34	15.8	12.8	2.94
Quentin Richardson	24	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	17.1	16.4	0.71	12.9	15.1	-2.22
Keyon Dooling	17	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	18.2	16.3	1.98	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Brian Skinner	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	17.7	16.3	1.42	13.2	14.9	-1.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	68	74	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-9	13	14.5	14.8	-0.27	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Ben Wallace	48	51	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-13	21	15.1	14.1	1.09	18.0	15.2	2.73
Michael Curry	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-9	13	14.3	14.8	-0.54	17.3	16.0	1.34
Dana Barros	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-7	9	14.0	14.8	-0.82	17.0	16.4	0.60
Mikki Moore	20	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	1	-7	15.8	14.3	1.59	17.2	16.5	0.71
Eric Montross	16	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	10	-25	13.7	14.7	-1.05	12.1	17.4	-5.29
Jerry Stackhouse	90	93	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-10	15	14.6	14.7	-0.17	17.0	13.0	3.97
John Wallace	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.4	14.7	-0.25	17.0	16.3	0.68
Jud Buechler	24	23	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	11	-27	14.9	14.5	0.45	14.5	17.2	-2.65
Chucky Atkins	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	2	-9	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.1	17.9	-1.83
Jerome Williams	53	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.7	-0.26	16.2	16.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.46,0.75,0.46,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.2,0.37,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.69,0	89.2%
WAS 114, BKN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	89.2%
PHX 90, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.26,0	87.6%