inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 83 Excitement2.6 [1247] MVPShawn Marion (DAL): +10.7%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.5 [516] LVPDarrell Arthur (MEM): -4.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02844%0.0200.002100%0.01
Marreese Speights0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01744%0.0200.00250%0.00
Mike Conley0.010,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02558%0.0100.002100%0.01
Josh Selby-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04653%-0.0000.00757%-0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01945%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Rudy Gay-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.021150%0.013-0.03250%-0.01
Zach Randolph-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01743%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.00-0.08911%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.05469%-0.011-0.02580%0.00
Hamed Haddadi-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.011337%-0.0510.00425%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.130.000.031377%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.05874%0.0900.00757%-0.02
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00-0.05350%0.0600.00450%0.01
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01859%0.0500.001100%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001354%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02262%0.0210.00475%-0.01
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06671%0.0100.002100%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.110.00-0.11425%0.024-0.0200%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02657%0.021-0.022100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.070.000.09773%-0.001-0.021100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.333.616.725.32.428.6132.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +47.1%
DAL +3.2%
MEM -2.4%
MEM -0.4%
DAL +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game18.414.415.495.4116.9104.1
season16.514.5102.9104.3
opponent15.615.5105.099.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM20.020.418.215.218.4
DAL13.414.112.617.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamed Haddadi2831-0.01-0.490.48-0.3612-334514.920.1-5.1616.813.13.72
Josh Selby3232-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-273314.820.5-5.6115.513.71.79
Wayne Ellington3942-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-242716.120.3-4.1914.614.20.40
Marreese Speights2726-0.17-0.330.150.41-20-1-1917.318.9-1.5312.215.3-3.15
Darrell Arthur4853-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-232517.120.0-2.9215.113.41.71
Tony Allen4243-0.20-0.300.090.15-12-9-319.817.12.6514.314.5-0.15
Mike Conley3838-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-7-721.615.95.7115.113.81.26
Zach Randolph3433-0.30-0.20-0.110.17-16-5-1121.216.64.6714.514.30.12
Marc Gasol3837-0.37-0.13-0.250.30-232-2521.915.76.2213.515.0-1.49
Rudy Gay5251-0.39-0.11-0.280.37-265-3120.215.74.5713.215.9-2.73
Jerryd Bayless5759-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-4-1316.422.1-5.7113.815.5-1.74

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter42410.350.150.19-0.3022-12313.015.6-2.5319.617.32.35
Dirk Nowitzki52490.310.190.12-0.161651114.314.5-0.2718.817.80.97
O.J. Mayo56540.300.200.11-0.312102113.116.5-3.4418.418.5-0.10
Rodrigue Beaubois29290.280.220.06-0.13147713.614.8-1.1818.418.4-0.02
Chris Kaman43420.260.240.02-0.18156913.715.0-1.3719.217.61.55
Jae Crowder44430.250.250.000.11516-1116.212.63.6917.918.9-1.05
Shawn Marion48490.250.25-0.01-0.251741313.415.6-2.1919.417.02.42
Elton Brand34330.240.26-0.02-0.231651113.514.9-1.4719.217.91.32
Darren Collison46440.220.28-0.06-0.16138513.815.0-1.1519.517.32.24
Dahntay Jones29280.130.37-0.240.25-425-2916.713.33.4216.519.3-2.79
Mike James14140.000.50-0.500.18-627-3317.913.74.1214.919.1-4.13
Bernard James12120.000.50-0.500.29-1031-4119.513.65.9213.319.2-5.87
Brandan Wright11100.000.50-0.500.35-1233-4518.913.75.1713.219.1-5.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 64, UTA 1090.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
PHX 80, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CLE 94, ORL 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%