NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	64		Excitement	2.4 [1201]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +8.9%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.2 [1225]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -11.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid El-Amin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.16	0.00	-0.13	13	23%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Guyton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	51%	-0.01	3	-0.07	13	100%	0.04
Ron Mercer	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	0.02	19	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	1	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	13	74%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	65%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	30.2	15.6	25.0	1.7	23.5	125.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.3%

CHI -6.2%

UTA +1.8%

CHI -1.6%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.9	14.4	15.5	71.9	122.5	100.9
season	16.4	16.0		95.2	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	17.0	19.5	19.7	17.9
UTA	11.9	15.6	17.4	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.44	-15	-30	15	18.7	17.6	1.09	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Michael Ruffin	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-33	21	17.7	18.0	-0.25	17.1	13.4	3.71
Jake Voskuhl	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-37	29	15.5	18.8	-3.24	15.4	14.1	1.27
Corey Benjamin	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.20	-12	-33	21	16.8	18.2	-1.36	18.9	13.2	5.72
Marcus Fizer	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.65	-29	-16	-13	17.6	18.2	-0.59	15.6	13.4	2.19
A.J. Guyton	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-31	17	16.7	18.8	-2.19	15.2	13.9	1.28
Dragan Tarlac	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.39	-21	-24	3	19.2	17.4	1.83	13.6	14.8	-1.23
Metta World Peace	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.56	-27	-18	-9	18.5	16.8	1.67	13.8	15.7	-1.98
Fred Hoiberg	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-34	23	17.2	18.1	-0.86	12.8	14.9	-2.11
Khalid El-Amin	27	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	-29	13	19.0	17.5	1.51	13.5	14.9	-1.34
Elton Brand	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.52	-28	-17	-11	18.4	16.3	2.01	13.5	17.9	-4.45
Ron Mercer	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.58	-32	-13	-19	18.0	17.4	0.58	13.6	17.9	-4.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.65	36	9	27	14.9	13.5	1.39	17.8	18.1	-0.29
Karl Malone	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.46	29	16	13	15.1	13.4	1.68	17.5	18.6	-1.12
Bryon Russell	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.47	28	17	11	14.9	13.8	1.07	17.4	18.7	-1.23
Greg Ostertag	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.70	34	11	23	15.5	13.3	2.26	18.3	17.5	0.86
John Stockton	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	29	-13	14.5	14.4	0.01	18.3	17.6	0.66
DeShawn Stevenson	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	29	-13	14.0	14.9	-0.96	17.5	18.3	-0.77
Olden Polynice	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.21	14	31	-17	13.0	15.4	-2.44	17.9	17.9	-0.04
Quincy Lewis	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.44	19	26	-7	14.4	14.5	-0.16	17.6	18.1	-0.48
Danny Manning	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	41	-37	12.1	14.7	-2.65	16.6	18.1	-1.45
Donyell Marshall	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.36	15	30	-15	13.9	14.7	-0.86	19.0	17.4	1.62
David Benoit	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.34	14	31	-17	13.9	14.7	-0.88	19.0	17.4	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CLE 94, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
LAC 93, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%