NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	2.4 [1206]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +5.7%
Washington Bullets	108		Comeback	1.1 [1029]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -9.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	8	47%	0.02	3	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaSalle Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	8	40%	-0.03	4	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	13	47%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.06	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	19	65%	0.09	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	73%	0.09	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	11	59%	0.03	3	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	59%	0.02	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Gaylon Nickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	22.4	15.3	31.6	2.3	26.7	126.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.8%

IND -1.3%

WAS +12.1%

IND -2.9%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.6	88.8	108.0	104.4
season	15.3	14.8		103.6	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.3		103.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	18.1	13.8	13.7	15.2
WAS	15.0	13.2	13.9	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaSalle Thompson	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	11.8	15.7	-3.84	11.5	14.2	-2.73
Brent Scott	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	13.5	15.4	-1.88	9.7	14.2	-4.49
Fred Hoiberg	30	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-27	33	13.7	15.9	-2.25	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Erick Dampier	30	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-25	29	13.2	16.1	-2.92	14.7	13.5	1.23
Jalen Rose	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-20	19	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Travis Best	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-11	1	14.9	15.6	-0.77	12.9	15.0	-2.03
Duane Ferrell	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-8	-5	16.0	14.4	1.58	13.7	14.1	-0.36
Dale Davis	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-7	-7	16.5	14.4	2.14	14.0	13.8	0.20
Rik Smits	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-6	-9	16.1	14.2	1.93	13.7	14.1	-0.34
Mark Jackson	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	1	-23	15.7	14.6	1.10	14.2	13.4	0.78
Reggie Miller	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	0	-21	15.1	15.4	-0.23	15.1	12.3	2.81
Antonio Davis	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-3	-15	15.6	14.7	0.80	14.6	12.8	1.80

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-3	27	14.2	12.2	2.02	15.7	12.9	2.86
Rod Strickland	71	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.26	22	-1	23	14.4	12.7	1.63	15.7	14.1	1.54
Calbert Cheaney	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	3	15	13.6	14.4	-0.72	15.3	15.1	0.19
Tracy Murray	64	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	6	9	13.5	14.6	-1.10	15.8	14.2	1.58
Chris Webber	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	9	3	15.0	13.3	1.71	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Lorenzo Williams	28	26	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	11	-1	14.4	13.7	0.66	15.5	15.1	0.32
Gheorghe Muresan	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	16	-11	14.2	13.5	0.62	15.4	15.0	0.36
Jaren Jackson	40	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	18	-15	14.4	13.5	0.87	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Chris Whitney	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	22	-23	12.4	14.5	-2.11	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Gaylon Nickerson	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	12.0	14.2	-2.21	12.4	15.7	-3.33
Ashraf Amaya	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	10.9	14.3	-3.40	12.4	15.6	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 64, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MIL 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHX 80, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%