NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	3.0 [1134]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +9.9%
Orlando Magic	120		Comeback	1.4 [1150]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -7.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	10	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.06	13	67%	-0.00	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.09	22	71%	0.10	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.06	11	58%	0.08	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.01	2	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	6	27%	-0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	27.3	16.5	33.4	1.6	33.2	138.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.5%

ORL +2.6%

ORL +12.0%

ORL +8.9%

ORL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.2	15.5	95.9	121.2	100.9
season	15.3	14.6		98.4	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	17.4	16.7	14.6	16.1
ORL	13.7	14.5	11.0	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	43	45	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-31	36	16.0	16.2	-0.26	13.8	12.6	1.11
Trajan Langdon	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-35	44	13.0	16.4	-3.42	14.1	13.0	1.06
Cedric Henderson	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-28	30	15.0	16.4	-1.38	12.9	13.2	-0.37
Jim Jackson	47	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-16	6	16.6	15.6	1.03	13.2	13.1	0.11
Robert Traylor	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-21	16	15.6	16.4	-0.81	13.1	13.2	-0.08
Wesley Person	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.43	-22	-4	-18	15.9	16.3	-0.49	14.1	12.2	1.96
Bimbo Coles	28	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	-10	-6	15.0	16.6	-1.59	14.0	12.8	1.24
Andre Miller	70	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-16	6	16.6	15.0	1.59	12.8	14.0	-1.24
Matt Harpring	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	-13	0	17.1	15.4	1.67	11.7	14.1	-2.44
Clar. Weatherspoon	61	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-8	-10	16.7	15.1	1.60	13.5	12.7	0.80
Lamond Murray	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	2	-30	15.7	16.4	-0.68	12.5	13.5	-1.06
Chris Gatling	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.23	-24	-2	-22	16.1	16.1	0.04	12.8	13.5	-0.66

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	-1	28	13.3	12.8	0.50	16.8	14.8	2.00
Bo Outlaw	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.30	24	2	22	12.2	14.5	-2.34	16.4	15.7	0.64
Tracy McGrady	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	2	22	12.8	13.8	-0.96	16.5	15.3	1.24
Darrell Armstrong	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	17	-8	13.3	13.0	0.37	16.9	15.2	1.71
Andrew DeClercq	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	13	0	12.4	13.6	-1.22	17.9	15.1	2.82
John Amaechi	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	13	0	14.0	12.7	1.38	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Troy Hudson	47	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.32	17	9	8	13.0	13.3	-0.37	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Monty Williams	53	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	17	-8	13.4	12.8	0.57	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Michael Doleac	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	20	-14	13.4	13.0	0.33	14.7	16.9	-2.11
Don Reid	35	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	30	-34	14.4	12.5	1.98	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Cory Alexander	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	34	-42	12.9	13.2	-0.25	14.7	16.4	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 64, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MEM 83, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 87, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%