NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	2.9 [1153]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +4.0%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.4 [880]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -11.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	-0.00	0.12	11	95%	0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	11	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.20	-0.00	-0.11	10	14%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	12	28%	-0.04	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	13	67%	0.04	1	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	17	55%	0.07	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	40%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	16	56%	0.05	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	29.4	14.4	29.5	2.5	23.7	126.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +18.9%

WAS +5.6%

WAS +13.4%

WAS +12.3%

NJN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	13.9	15.6	88.8	108.3	102.5
season	15.6	15.1		104.9	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.9	15.1	13.8	17.6	15.7
WAS	13.1	15.6	12.8	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Edwards	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.8	15.7	1.17	15.3	13.8	1.45
Jack Haley	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.8	15.7	1.17	15.3	13.8	1.45
Michael Cage	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-22	27	16.5	15.3	1.17	14.2	13.8	0.46
Lucious Harris	38	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-25	33	15.8	15.7	0.05	15.5	13.0	2.46
Sam Cassell	49	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-13	9	14.9	16.6	-1.71	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Kendall Gill	60	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-8	-1	16.2	14.9	1.33	13.5	14.6	-1.06
Keith Van Horn	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	15.0	16.8	-1.80	14.5	13.1	1.39
Sherman Douglas	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	2	-21	16.3	15.4	0.90	13.4	14.2	-0.75
David Benoit	37	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	2	-21	16.8	15.1	1.77	12.5	14.8	-2.30
Chris Gatling	38	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	4	-25	15.2	16.1	-0.86	13.0	14.5	-1.57
Kerry Kittles	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-4	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.0	13.8	0.17
Jayson Williams	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-2	-13	15.5	16.2	-0.67	14.1	13.5	0.65

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.19	25	-8	33	13.7	18.2	-4.51	15.8	15.3	0.48
Rod Strickland	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	5	7	13.9	14.2	-0.30	16.6	13.5	3.11
Calbert Cheaney	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	13.4	15.0	-1.67	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Ben Wallace	33	32	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-2	21	12.8	14.6	-1.80	16.7	15.3	1.37
Juwan Howard	87	89	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	10	-3	14.4	9.3	5.08	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Tracy Murray	46	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	11	-5	14.2	13.7	0.58	16.1	15.4	0.69
Terry Davis	47	48	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	15	-13	14.5	13.4	1.12	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Chris Whitney	25	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	12	-7	14.2	13.9	0.30	13.1	16.8	-3.63
Harvey Grant	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	15.3	13.7	1.65	17.1	15.5	1.66
Darvin Ham	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	12.0	14.0	-1.98	18.0	15.7	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 83, CHH 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 82, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%