NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	2.7 [1172]		MVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): +10.9%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	1.8 [621]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -8.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	87%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Bimbo Coles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	21	53%	-0.01	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.01	0.06	17	78%	0.14	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	4	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	11	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	27.1	16.7	27.2	1.7	26.3	124.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +19.8%

CHH +10.7%

CHH +7.6%

CHH +11.0%

CHH +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHH	NBA	GSW	CHH	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.6	84.7	114.3	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		92.9	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		102.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	16.8	14.5	15.2	15.0
CHH	14.2	14.5	16.1	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	10.5	15.3	-4.76	11.1	14.7	-3.53
Felton Spencer	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-24	19	12.5	15.9	-3.41	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Todd Fuller	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-19	9	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.6	14.3	0.33
Tony Delk	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-13	-3	14.9	15.0	-0.15	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Bimbo Coles	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.28	-16	-13	-3	16.3	13.6	2.76	14.8	14.0	0.76
Jason Caffey	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-14	-1	15.2	14.8	0.47	14.7	14.2	0.50
Muggsy Bogues	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-15	1	14.1	15.5	-1.38	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Donyell Marshall	39	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.04	-12	-17	5	14.5	15.3	-0.76	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Clar. Weatherspoon	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	-12	-5	15.2	14.5	0.69	15.0	13.0	2.00
Jim Jackson	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	-9	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.68	14.4	14.3	0.10
Erick Dampier	61	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	-8	-13	16.1	13.0	3.12	14.7	13.9	0.83

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.23	22	7	15	15.1	13.6	1.46	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Anthony Mason	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	11	7	14.8	13.7	1.11	14.8	15.3	-0.57
Matt Geiger	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	10	9	15.0	13.6	1.38	14.7	15.4	-0.73
David Wesley	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.17	17	12	5	15.0	13.8	1.13	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Glen Rice	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	20	-11	14.9	13.4	1.52	14.2	16.7	-2.45
B.J. Armstrong	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	21	-13	13.6	14.7	-1.09	16.6	14.4	2.19
J.R. Reid	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	18	-7	13.7	14.8	-1.11	15.3	14.8	0.57
Vernon Maxwell	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	23	-17	14.1	14.5	-0.37	15.4	14.8	0.55
Travis Williams	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	23	-17	13.0	14.7	-1.70	17.0	14.6	2.40
Donald Royal	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.17	6	23	-17	12.8	15.1	-2.24	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Corey Beck	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	22	-15	12.7	14.9	-2.16	14.7	15.0	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CLE 94, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 77, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%