inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 91 Excitement3.0 [1201] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +26.9%
San Antonio Spurs 129 Comeback1.1 [1278] LVPDominique Jones (DAL): -8.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.00-0.00968%0.091-0.001100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.00480%0.0700.00250%-0.00
Dahntay Jones0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02458%0.0500.00450%-0.00
Darren Collison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02968%0.042-0.01475%-0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03557%0.0000.00450%-0.00
Jae Crowder-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.04664%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Elton Brand-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02075%0.001-0.02475%0.00
Chris Kaman-0.030,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00956%0.023-0.0500%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.15-0.01-0.10839%0.006-0.06250%-0.00
Shawn Marion-0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.03729%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Dominique Jones-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.04725%-0.082-0.00650%-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.300.020.0610125%0.2700.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.02570%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.120.000.071171%0.0500.002100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.01874%0.044-0.02367%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.021547%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06487%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.103133%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.07333%-0.0030.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04467%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01442%-0.021-0.00475%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.010.07972%0.054-0.08786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.22.828.415.429.62.529.4128.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +28.9%
SAS +7.6%
SAS +5.1%
SAS +4.3%
SAS +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game13.415.015.489.2127.7104.1
season14.515.2104.3106.4
opponent15.115.699.5105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.115.012.912.913.4
SAS15.715.712.416.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Douglas-Roberts16170.00-0.500.51-0.031-394015.913.02.9718.614.24.44
Jae Crowder31320.00-0.500.500.09-3-353214.313.11.1917.014.03.00
Rodrigue Beaubois2425-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-343012.913.6-0.7316.414.51.98
Brandan Wright2929-0.01-0.490.490.08-3-353212.413.8-1.4216.014.51.42
Elton Brand3129-0.03-0.470.440.38-14-241012.913.7-0.8113.315.6-2.30
Vince Carter4341-0.10-0.400.300.34-15-23812.813.9-1.1113.416.0-2.54
Dahntay Jones4040-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-312413.313.5-0.1815.014.90.12
Dominique Jones4445-0.23-0.270.040.36-20-18-213.513.40.0414.915.0-0.07
Darren Collison5250-0.27-0.23-0.040.43-24-14-1013.613.30.2614.615.3-0.61
Dirk Nowitzki4241-0.33-0.17-0.170.34-23-15-813.313.5-0.2514.915.0-0.12
O.J. Mayo6362-0.43-0.07-0.350.48-31-7-2413.213.8-0.6314.316.0-1.75
Chris Kaman4243-0.47-0.03-0.430.15-21-17-414.512.61.9015.414.60.73
Shawn Marion5351-0.48-0.02-0.460.28-26-12-1413.313.6-0.2714.115.8-1.76

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green48490.54-0.040.58-0.2025131214.715.1-0.3813.013.8-0.79
Tim Duncan48490.52-0.020.54-0.2125131214.915.0-0.0613.813.10.74
Tony Parker60620.490.010.49-0.443262614.515.5-0.9913.513.30.26
Kawhi Leonard55550.340.160.19-0.4828101815.014.90.1114.312.41.94
Tiago Splitter47460.270.230.04-0.4324141014.215.6-1.3814.212.81.43
Boris Diaw39420.230.27-0.04-0.271721-414.515.2-0.7513.213.6-0.37
Manu Ginobili47480.150.35-0.21-0.411919013.516.2-2.6912.614.2-1.64
Nando De Colo28270.000.50-0.50-0.20731-2415.814.61.1612.013.9-1.95
Patty Mills25240.000.50-0.50-0.12434-3016.414.51.9812.913.6-0.73
DeJuan Blair25240.000.50-0.50-0.12434-3016.414.51.9812.913.6-0.73
Matt Bonner21210.000.50-0.500.00038-3816.914.42.4713.213.5-0.30
Stephen Jackson4445-0.010.51-0.53-0.28929-2015.114.80.2513.013.8-0.77
Gary Neal1818-0.030.53-0.570.08-442-4615.414.90.5316.212.83.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 99, UTA 1290.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
MEM 66, POR 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DEN 93, LAL 1210.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%