NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	99		Excitement	3.4 [1141]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +16.7%
Utah Jazz	129		Comeback	1.0 [368]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -8.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	17	79%	0.15	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	8	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	45%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Draymond Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	11	33%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	11	91%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	11	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	16	64%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	23.4	15.4	27.8	1.8	25.2	122.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.3%

GSW -6.2%

GSW -1.7%

UTA +8.6%

GSW -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	14.7	14.7	97.1	125.2	107.5
season	13.7	15.1		112.6	106.6
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	14.6	12.4	13.5	13.4
UTA	14.4	14.8	13.3	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.19	-7	-23	16	12.8	13.6	-0.79	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Patrick McCaw	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.22	-8	-22	14	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Shaun Livingston	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-25	20	13.6	13.3	0.22	17.2	13.9	3.22
JaVale McGee	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.26	-11	-19	8	12.8	13.7	-0.95	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Nick Young	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.31	-14	-16	2	13.5	13.3	0.17	16.9	13.8	3.06
David West	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-16	2	13.6	13.3	0.38	16.2	14.0	2.18
Andre Iguodala	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-25	20	13.0	13.7	-0.75	12.9	16.1	-3.14
Zaza Pachulia	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-20	10	13.9	13.1	0.76	15.5	14.2	1.31
Klay Thompson	62	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-11	-8	13.7	12.9	0.77	15.5	13.4	2.11
Stephen Curry	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-13	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.77	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Kevin Durant	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-13	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.77	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Draymond Green	62	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	-7	-16	13.9	12.6	1.34	15.6	13.3	2.28

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	73	74	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.33	31	-1	32	14.8	14.4	0.42	13.8	12.2	1.62
Rudy Gobert	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	4	22	14.1	15.5	-1.36	13.8	12.8	0.99
Joe Ingles	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.33	26	4	22	14.3	15.2	-0.82	13.7	13.0	0.74
Donovan Mitchell	54	53	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.22	17	13	4	15.0	14.4	0.55	13.5	13.3	0.13
Alec Burks	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	17	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.60	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Joe Johnson	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	12	6	14.5	14.9	-0.35	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Jonas Jerebko	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	23	-16	13.4	15.2	-1.83	14.0	13.1	0.90
Derrick Favors	56	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	24	-18	15.5	13.7	1.79	12.9	14.0	-1.03
Royce O'Neale	49	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	28	-26	15.4	14.1	1.31	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Georges Niang	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	16.3	14.6	1.68	7.0	13.5	-6.52
Ekpe Udoh	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	17.0	14.5	2.49	15.3	13.3	2.03
Raul Neto	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	31	-32	14.1	14.8	-0.73	12.5	13.5	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, SAS 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DAL 96, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DAL 83, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%