NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	3.1 [1190]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +11.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	1.1 [950]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -12.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.01	-0.06	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	70%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.12	12	64%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	79%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	33.3	15.7	27.4	1.8	32.6	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.6%

POR +8.3%

POR +5.9%

POR +7.5%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.5	110.3	116.9	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		108.5	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	18.7	16.3	15.3	16.6
POR	15.7	15.6	16.4	16.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-18	28	14.1	16.9	-2.75	17.5	16.0	1.52
Brian Cardinal	22	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-18	28	15.3	17.1	-1.80	16.7	15.9	0.79
DeShawn Stevenson	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-18	28	15.5	17.1	-1.61	16.2	16.1	0.18
Jose Juan Barea	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	17.3	16.3	1.04	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Peja Stojakovic	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	17.8	16.3	1.49	17.8	15.7	2.04
Ian Mahinmi	33	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-12	16	17.2	16.2	1.00	16.5	15.9	0.57
Rodrigue Beaubois	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-12	16	16.7	16.5	0.14	15.9	16.3	-0.46
Jason Terry	46	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	6	-20	16.7	16.5	0.25	16.2	16.0	0.21
Brendan Haywood	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	5	-18	16.5	16.7	-0.24	16.1	16.1	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	64	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	6	-20	16.6	16.7	-0.04	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Jason Kidd	50	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	8	-24	16.7	16.5	0.28	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Shawn Marion	52	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	8	-24	16.8	16.4	0.37	15.6	16.8	-1.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	15.9	17.0	-1.10	16.9	15.6	1.33
Andre Miller	49	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	-2	12	15.1	17.4	-2.29	17.5	15.4	2.07
Nicolas Batum	66	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	5	-2	16.1	16.1	0.03	15.9	18.5	-2.54
Wesley Matthews	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	5	-2	15.3	17.4	-2.08	17.1	15.9	1.26
Marcus Camby	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-4	16	16.1	16.2	-0.09	16.7	16.5	0.14
Brandon Roy	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-3	14	16.5	15.6	0.89	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Rudy Fernandez	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	4	0	17.2	15.3	1.95	15.9	17.1	-1.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	62	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	5	-2	16.7	14.7	2.08	17.2	15.0	2.18
Chris Johnson	12	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	18	-28	17.2	15.9	1.22	13.3	17.1	-3.75
Luke Babbitt	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	16.0	16.1	-0.11	4.0	16.8	-12.77
Patty Mills	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	16.0	16.1	-0.11	4.0	16.8	-12.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, UTA 129	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIN 100, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MEM 66, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%