NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	3.1 [1135]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +5.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.1 [1023]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): -12.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	12	25%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	18	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	14	33%	-0.08	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	11	21%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	15	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	15	42%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	13	42%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	4.4	29.6	20.3	27.6	3.5	33.6	144.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.8%

SAC +4.6%

DAL -5.8%

SAC +14.9%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.6	15.5	82.2	98.0	101.6
season	15.1	14.0		108.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	17.5	12.9	10.4	14.0
SAC	13.0	12.0	14.3	19.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	10.6	14.1	-3.54	13.0	14.6	-1.64
Shawn Bradley	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	11.9	14.4	-2.48	15.8	14.2	1.58
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-18	20	11.0	14.8	-3.84	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Walt Williams	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	13.6	14.1	-0.51	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Raef LaFrentz	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-7	-2	13.7	14.2	-0.52	15.3	13.8	1.50
Eduardo Najera	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.1	13.3	1.73	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Raja Bell	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-13	10	13.5	14.6	-1.11	14.9	14.1	0.74
Nick Van Exel	61	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	14.2	13.6	0.64	15.1	13.8	1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	75	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-2	-12	14.5	12.3	2.17	14.9	13.8	1.12
Steve Nash	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	14.1	13.5	0.61	15.0	13.4	1.64
Michael Finley	82	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	4	-24	14.7	10.7	4.04	13.6	18.6	-5.02

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.17	24	-8	32	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.6	11.0	3.65
Hedo Turkoglu	62	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	0	16	12.8	17.4	-4.61	14.6	13.0	1.56
Vlade Divac	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	1	14	14.4	14.9	-0.56	13.7	14.4	-0.64
Mike Bibby	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	0	16	14.2	15.8	-1.68	14.0	13.9	0.06
Doug Christie	81	80	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	3	10	14.3	15.6	-1.37	14.0	13.8	0.19
Bobby Jackson	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	16	-16	15.4	13.3	2.04	13.6	14.6	-1.02
Keon Clark	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	16	-16	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.3	13.8	0.46
Jim Jackson	44	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	18	-20	16.9	12.8	4.13	12.8	14.9	-2.08
Scot Pollard	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.0	14.6	-1.64	10.6	14.1	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 83, CLE 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIL 83, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%