inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 83 Excitement3.2 [1107] MVPWesley Person (CLE): +9.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Comeback1.0 [1195] LVPRay Allen (MIL): -19.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Curry0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.011067%0.0700.004100%0.01
Litterial Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jerald Honeycutt0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Lang-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jamie Feick-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Tyrone Hill-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00958%0.003-0.04862%-0.01
Ricky Pierce-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.06425%-0.042-0.00475%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01450%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Armen Gilliam-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.021347%-0.031-0.024100%0.01
Elliot Perry-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.010.031542%-0.061-0.03367%-0.01
Ray Allen-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.01-0.011540%-0.077-0.135100%0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.021271%0.122-0.0200%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011060%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.021069%0.062-0.046100%0.01
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.080.01-0.08643%0.023-0.01250%-0.01
Brevin Knight0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.04940%0.011-0.012100%0.00
Scott Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Carl Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03371%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02761%0.053-0.06475%0.01
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.031042%-0.021-0.01450%-0.02
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.000.01350%-0.043-0.05667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.624.515.423.21.628.2123.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +44.8%
MIL -7.7%
CLE +3.8%
CLE +9.6%
MIL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCLENBAMILCLENBA
this game17.413.815.689.2103.3102.5
season16.015.4101.199.4
opponent16.015.197.0102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.218.815.518.217.4
CLE14.112.513.215.313.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerald Honeycutt66-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-162015.517.5-1.9911.713.9-2.23
Andrew Lang1716-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-141615.717.7-2.0314.613.61.06
Jamie Feick911-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-131415.317.6-2.2514.213.70.49
Litterial Green1517-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-131417.317.4-0.0414.613.51.10
Ricky Pierce3130-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-111017.917.10.8115.412.92.50
Ervin Johnson3737-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-2-817.117.5-0.3812.914.3-1.34
Armen Gilliam4445-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-3-618.516.32.2013.913.60.27
Ray Allen7474-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-11-1-1016.919.0-2.0514.311.33.00
Tyrone Hill7875-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.20-8-4-417.616.01.6313.813.50.34
Elliot Perry7774-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-120-1217.516.51.0513.116.5-3.42
Michael Curry7775-0.48-0.02-0.460.02-175-2217.317.6-0.3113.116.5-3.41

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Person76790.440.060.380.1893614.012.71.2917.417.10.35
Cedric Henderson67680.380.120.26-0.0916-42012.616.9-4.3017.217.9-0.70
Vitaly Potapenko59590.350.150.200.1866013.115.0-1.9517.916.51.41
Brevin Knight52520.290.210.090.0684415.012.12.8318.516.02.53
Shawn Kemp55580.280.220.050.1066013.913.50.3516.419.0-2.67
Zydrunas Ilgauskas52530.220.28-0.060.0466014.612.61.9917.417.30.03
Bob Sura36380.210.29-0.090.0366012.414.6-2.1916.118.3-2.18
Derek Anderson37360.180.32-0.140.15111-1015.812.33.4917.917.10.81
Shawnelle Scott18150.150.35-0.20-0.0366013.113.9-0.7920.316.83.46
Carl Thomas440.000.50-0.500.06-214-169.713.9-4.1811.017.7-6.65
Scott Brooks430.000.50-0.500.06-214-169.713.9-4.1814.317.5-3.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 83, SAC 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
HOU 75, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CHI 94, CLE 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%