NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	3.4 [1111]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +7.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.0 [943]		LVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): -9.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.01	0.08	9	73%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	14	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	16	49%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	14	34%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	-0.00	0.10	11	91%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	14	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	44%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	10	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	23	53%	0.05	6	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	31.3	17.5	26.3	2.6	33.2	139.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.5%

CLE +7.6%

CLE +22.1%

CHI -8.7%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.1	103.3	120.0	104.2
season	15.5	15.9		105.4	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		104.1	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	17.0	13.4	14.2	14.8
CLE	16.0	15.7	17.9	18.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	15.2	14.8	0.46	18.8	16.9	1.88
Cameron Bairstow	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	15.2	14.8	0.46	18.8	16.9	1.88
Aaron Brooks	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-22	30	15.9	14.2	1.75	16.6	17.3	-0.64
E'Twaun Moore	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-18	22	13.4	15.1	-1.67	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Tony Snell	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-15	16	14.1	15.5	-1.37	17.6	16.5	1.12
Nikola Mirotic	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-7	0	13.1	15.7	-2.61	18.3	16.4	1.97
Kirk Hinrich	52	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	4	-22	14.3	15.4	-1.09	16.9	17.2	-0.36
Derrick Rose	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.6	15.2	-0.63	17.0	17.0	0.04
Pau Gasol	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	3	-20	15.3	13.2	2.11	16.4	19.0	-2.52
Taj Gibson	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-6	-2	15.0	13.9	1.07	16.8	17.9	-1.11
Jimmy Butler	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.19	-24	10	-34	15.5	12.1	3.44	17.1	16.8	0.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-2	18	16.7	18.1	-1.41	15.4	13.0	2.42
Kyrie Irving	76	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-1	16	17.2	15.9	1.30	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Timofey Mozgov	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	-3	20	16.5	18.2	-1.78	15.8	12.6	3.19
J.R. Smith	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	-3	20	16.6	18.1	-1.45	14.3	16.2	-1.84
Tristan Thompson	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	1	12	17.1	16.9	0.18	14.3	15.5	-1.27
Kevin Love	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	12	-10	17.4	16.5	0.88	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Shawn Marion	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	9	-4	17.6	16.7	0.87	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Matthew Dellavedova	24	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	21	-28	17.2	17.0	0.20	17.3	14.0	3.30
James Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.0	17.0	2.05	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Brendan Haywood	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.0	17.0	2.05	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Mike Miller	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.0	17.0	2.05	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Joe Harris	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	19.0	17.0	2.05	14.7	14.8	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
GSW 107, SAC 130	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%