NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	3.1 [1136]		MVP	Tony Delk (SAC): +5.6%
Sacramento Kings	130		Comeback	1.0 [1248]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Bill Curley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	-0.12	10	33%	-0.02	5	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.00	0.06	32	49%	-0.06	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	3	82%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.08	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.05	5	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	82%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.00	8	62%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	35.2	15.8	31.2	1.8	29.0	140.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.3%

SAC +4.6%

SAC +8.1%

SAC +2.6%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.3	12.9	15.2	97.3	118.2	101.7
season	14.7	13.8		97.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		100.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	14.0	15.5	11.5	13.3
SAC	11.8	12.2	13.3	14.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-26	29	11.9	14.0	-2.07	14.7	12.0	2.68
Tim Young	31	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-23	23	11.4	14.1	-2.75	14.7	12.2	2.54
Vonteego Cummings	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-22	21	14.8	13.0	1.77	13.0	12.8	0.17
Mark Davis	78	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-14	5	12.8	14.5	-1.65	13.0	12.4	0.61
Tony Farmer	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-17	11	12.6	14.1	-1.53	13.7	12.0	1.71
Sam Jacobson	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-13	3	14.1	12.7	1.36	12.6	13.0	-0.39
Adonal Foyle	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-5	-13	14.1	12.3	1.76	12.0	14.1	-2.02
Jason Caffey	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	-1	-21	14.2	12.0	2.14	12.1	14.0	-1.89
Larry Hughes	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.25	-25	2	-27	13.1	14.2	-1.08	12.7	13.3	-0.56
Mookie Blaylock	62	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.31	-27	4	-31	14.0	12.4	1.58	11.9	14.1	-2.19

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	74	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.18	23	0	23	12.1	14.5	-2.40	13.8	12.3	1.57
Jason Williams	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	2	19	12.2	13.8	-1.64	13.9	12.4	1.45
Nick Anderson	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	-4	31	11.9	13.8	-1.82	14.0	12.6	1.38
Vlade Divac	56	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	1	21	11.9	13.8	-1.92	13.7	13.0	0.65
Tyrone Corbin	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	11	1	13.3	12.6	0.70	11.8	14.1	-2.29
Corliss Williamson	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	10	3	12.4	13.2	-0.71	14.3	12.6	1.66
Scot Pollard	54	55	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	22	-21	13.8	11.9	1.92	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Jon Barry	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	25	-27	12.9	12.8	0.08	13.8	13.2	0.58
Peja Stojakovic	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	28	-33	13.9	12.2	1.67	13.6	13.2	0.41
Tony Delk	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	21	-19	13.8	12.2	1.64	12.4	13.9	-1.45
Lawrence Funderburke	36	35	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	14.5	12.1	2.40	12.3	13.8	-1.57
Darrick Martin	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	13.4	12.8	0.58	9.9	13.8	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHI 94, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NOH 65, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%