inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement3.2 [1131] MVPSamaki Walker (LAL): +8.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 121 Comeback1.0 [1273] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -9.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.01-0.061061%0.074-0.033100%0.01
Vincent Yarbrough0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.011462%0.052-0.031100%0.00
Junior Harrington0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.04340%-0.001-0.004100%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nene-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.05967%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.011460%0.064-0.082100%0.01
Donnell Harvey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00636%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Chris Andersen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05360%-0.024-0.014100%-0.00
Mark Blount-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01357%0.002-0.0410%-0.01
Rodney White-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.03540%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00812%-0.0900.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.01778%0.0810.004100%0.02
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.010.092069%0.071-0.022181%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.021100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01583%0.044-0.052100%-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041462%0.033-0.054100%0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.051242%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.04367%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.829.216.727.02.725.3129.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +24.7%
LAL +14.7%
LAL +8.3%
LAL +5.5%
DEN -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game14.614.315.592.1123.5101.6
season15.715.490.4105.0
opponent15.115.3102.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.214.714.813.614.6
LAL14.114.111.318.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili3333-0.03-0.470.430.26-10-18813.914.9-1.0014.814.10.79
Rodney White2825-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-262413.115.2-2.1314.414.30.15
Mark Blount2424-0.05-0.450.390.09-5-231813.215.0-1.7915.214.01.22
Donnell Harvey1917-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-252213.514.9-1.3414.214.4-0.18
Nene4140-0.18-0.320.15-0.242-303214.314.8-0.5015.413.61.90
Ryan Bowen3232-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-201213.815.0-1.1713.914.5-0.67
Junior Harrington5554-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-242015.014.20.8516.112.14.06
Marcus Camby3634-0.25-0.250.000.49-25-3-2215.814.01.8511.615.8-4.15
Vincent Yarbrough5050-0.25-0.250.000.25-17-11-615.314.01.3214.314.3-0.01
Chris Andersen6261-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-15214.714.50.2515.312.62.70
Chris Whitney6764-0.43-0.07-0.360.48-313-3414.714.50.1312.917.1-4.23
Juwan Howard5856-0.46-0.04-0.420.24-24-4-2015.513.42.0413.515.4-1.85

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant67680.55-0.050.60-0.5337-94612.817.7-4.9015.113.61.54
Shaquille O'Neal65660.490.010.48-0.4833-53813.017.0-4.0815.313.31.95
Rick Fox49500.380.120.25-0.151810813.715.0-1.3115.413.81.60
Samaki Walker57600.270.230.040.15424-2015.612.62.9514.614.7-0.12
Robert Horry50520.240.26-0.02-0.201513214.014.7-0.7114.414.9-0.51
Brian Shaw33320.180.32-0.14-0.03721-1414.814.10.7015.014.40.61
Kareem Rush50510.140.36-0.210.14028-2816.212.43.7813.815.4-1.60
Devean George43450.120.38-0.25-0.05622-1615.313.61.6614.015.1-1.07
Derek Fisher46510.120.38-0.25-0.231216-414.214.4-0.1614.514.8-0.29
Mark Madsen12120.000.50-0.50-0.06226-2415.814.11.7213.414.8-1.36
Tracy Murray660.000.50-0.50-0.12424-2013.014.4-1.4112.314.8-2.42
Slava Medvedenko12120.000.50-0.50-0.06226-2415.814.11.7213.414.8-1.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 73, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
MIA 69, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
DAL 91, SAS 1290.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%