NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	3.5 [1120]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +16.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	1.0 [588]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -10.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.05	0.03	-0.09	22	56%	0.19	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
David Lee	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	14	76%	0.17	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	43%	0.01	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.21	0.00	-0.10	8	0%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	55%	0.06	4	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	7	39%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.6	27.6	15.4	30.0	1.5	31.6	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.9%

GSW +2.5%

CHA -0.9%

GSW +7.1%

CHA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	15.4	105.1	99.0	104.1
season	14.6	15.6		104.6	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.0	15.0	14.4	15.0	13.8
CHA	18.1	15.0	15.0	14.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	14.5	12.5	2.02	17.2	12.1	5.11
Stephen Curry	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	13.7	14.0	-0.24	17.6	10.5	7.05
Harrison Barnes	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-10	28	12.9	14.6	-1.75	15.9	15.3	0.64
Klay Thompson	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	14.0	13.3	0.79	17.8	10.4	7.46
Carl Landry	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	15.8	11.2	4.54	14.9	16.6	-1.78
Jarrett Jack	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	12	-16	14.1	13.2	0.88	14.6	17.7	-3.06
Draymond Green	42	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	14.2	13.5	0.76	12.7	17.6	-4.86
Charles Jenkins	32	29	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	3	2	13.1	14.1	-1.09	10.4	17.8	-7.46
Festus Ezeli	27	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	2	4	11.8	14.6	-2.78	17.0	15.1	1.93
Andris Biedrins	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	13.5	13.8	-0.30	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Jeremy Tyler	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	3.0	14.0	-11.02	8.5	15.8	-7.26
Kent Bazemore	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	2.2	14.4	-12.21	4.2	16.1	-11.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-6	4	20.2	15.3	4.86	10.5	14.0	-3.51
Reggie Williams	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-6	4	24.2	15.0	9.12	10.6	14.0	-3.47
DeSagana Diop	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.0	15.9	-0.86	13.9	13.8	0.09
Ben Gordon	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	12.9	17.2	-4.30	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Ramon Sessions	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	14.3	16.9	-2.65	13.9	13.7	0.20
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-14	20	16.8	13.3	3.45	14.2	12.9	1.30
Kemba Walker	66	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-10	12	16.5	13.6	2.89	13.9	13.6	0.33
Jeff Taylor	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.7	-0.08	14.2	12.8	1.44
Bismack Biyombo	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.5	15.8	-0.23	14.1	13.1	1.04
Byron Mullens	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	5	-18	16.9	13.8	3.12	13.8	13.8	0.06
Gerald Henderson	42	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	13	-34	13.1	17.5	-4.39	12.8	14.4	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, VAN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.9%
GSW 108, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DAL 107, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%