NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	3.5 [674]		MVP	Terry Dehere (VAN): +6.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.0 [651]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -17.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Don MacLean	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	20	52%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Cotton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	17	51%	0.02	5	-0.07	15	73%	-0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	54%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	33%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.00	20	46%	-0.05	7	-0.13	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.2	15.8	27.2	2.3	33.5	136.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +19.0%

SEA +10.4%

SEA +2.5%

SEA +18.5%

VAN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	15.5	17.2	15.8	110.2	95.5	99.6
season	15.4	16.4		102.4	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.3	17.1	18.0	15.8	15.5
VAN	22.5	17.1	13.5	16.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	0	13	14.6	18.6	-3.95	17.9	14.8	3.02
Don MacLean	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	0	13	15.1	18.2	-3.15	17.7	14.3	3.44
Hersey Hawkins	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	1	11	15.5	15.6	-0.08	17.4	16.5	0.82
Gary Payton	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	14.7	19.9	-5.13	17.3	16.5	0.79
Olden Polynice	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	7	-1	16.3	13.7	2.63	17.0	17.7	-0.75
John Crotty	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	7	-1	16.4	15.0	1.39	15.9	18.2	-2.31
Dale Ellis	29	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	15	-17	18.3	14.2	4.12	15.4	18.0	-2.59
Jelani McCoy	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	12	-11	19.0	14.6	4.41	20.6	16.3	4.24
Rashard Lewis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	4.5	15.8	-11.30	8.0	17.4	-9.40
Aaron Williams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	4.5	15.8	-11.30	8.0	17.4	-9.40
James Cotton	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	4.5	15.8	-11.30	8.0	17.4	-9.40

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Henderson	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-19	25	14.6	18.4	-3.72	15.1	15.7	-0.61
DeJuan Wheat	29	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-16	19	18.2	16.7	1.53	16.4	15.1	1.35
Rodrick Rhodes	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-13	13	15.3	18.0	-2.72	17.7	14.5	3.23
Cherokee Parks	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	15.0	18.4	-3.48	18.2	14.1	4.10
Terry Dehere	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	20.2	16.4	3.80	19.2	14.6	4.55
Pete Chilcutt	26	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-5	-3	21.3	15.5	5.86	10.9	17.3	-6.36
Tony Massenburg	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	15.8	18.4	-2.62	16.4	14.8	1.66
Michael Smith	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	19.5	15.2	4.32	15.6	15.5	0.10
Felipe Lopez	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	4	-21	17.6	16.6	0.92	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Mike Bibby	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	5	-23	16.4	19.1	-2.74	14.2	18.8	-4.68
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-5	-3	17.1	19.0	-1.90	15.4	18.2	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.9%
GSW 96, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.6%
GSW 108, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%