NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	3.2 [1129]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +4.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.2 [864]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	12	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Chris Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	10	74%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	17	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	11	24%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	15	32%	-0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.0	31.2	15.7	29.2	2.6	27.2	130.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.9%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +0.1%

GSW +7.5%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.5	112.5	97.9	101.6
season	14.6	15.4		105.3	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	13.6	15.2	15.6	14.5
LAC	16.9	15.2	16.8	13.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	-3	20	14.5	14.6	-0.14	16.2	14.4	1.75
Jason Richardson	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	4	6	14.8	14.1	0.70	16.2	14.5	1.72
Antawn Jamison	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	11	-8	14.4	14.8	-0.38	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Erick Dampier	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	2	10	14.5	14.6	-0.12	16.8	14.2	2.63
Chris Mills	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.22	16	-2	18	14.3	14.6	-0.30	15.7	15.3	0.41
Troy Murphy	46	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	7	0	14.8	14.3	0.46	16.3	14.7	1.67
Adonal Foyle	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	12	-10	14.8	14.2	0.65	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Mike Dunleavy	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	9	-4	14.5	14.5	-0.02	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Bob Sura	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	10	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.70	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Earl Boykins	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.17	-3	17	-20	14.6	14.5	0.14	14.4	16.2	-1.75
Jiri Welsch	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	12.5	14.6	-2.11	14.3	15.5	-1.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-21	28	12.9	16.4	-3.51	14.9	14.4	0.51
Marko Jaric	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-10	6	14.5	16.2	-1.66	14.6	14.5	0.09
Cherokee Parks	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-3	-8	17.7	14.5	3.17	14.5	14.5	-0.08
Eric Piatkowski	61	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-12	10	14.9	16.5	-1.63	14.6	14.3	0.32
Melvin Ely	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-9	4	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.8	14.2	0.54
Sean Rooks	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-8	2	16.1	14.8	1.32	14.6	14.4	0.14
Quentin Richardson	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-3	-8	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.6	14.5	0.09
Lamar Odom	60	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	3	-20	16.2	14.3	1.92	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Andre Miller	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	16.2	14.5	1.66	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Corey Maggette	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-3	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.66	14.1	15.6	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 126, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
GSW 104, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.9%
DET 101, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%