NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	2.2 [1243]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +11.7%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.2 [502]		LVP	Keith Bogans (ORL): -6.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.20	0.00	0.09	14	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	23%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.11	15	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.5	17.4	23.4	2.3	27.5	124.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.4%

ORL -0.2%

DET +7.0%

DET +18.4%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	16.9	16.8	15.7	117.4	104.7	100.5
season	16.2	15.7		99.2	100.9
opponent	15.4	16.0		108.2	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	19.3	19.0	16.2	16.9
ORL	17.6	18.6	15.2	15.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	63	64	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.27	28	-16	44	16.3	18.7	-2.44	17.5	14.5	2.99
Richard Hamilton	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	1	10	16.5	17.8	-1.34	16.5	17.3	-0.86
Ben Wallace	44	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	1	10	16.3	17.6	-1.30	16.5	17.1	-0.67
Lindsey Hunter	46	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	10	-8	14.7	19.4	-4.66	17.0	16.6	0.39
Rasheed Wallace	24	23	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	1	10	13.3	18.3	-4.96	18.6	16.1	2.45
Corliss Williamson	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	3	6	19.5	14.7	4.82	16.3	17.2	-0.95
Elden Campbell	19	19	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	3	6	19.3	16.2	3.02	18.6	16.2	2.39
Mike James	55	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	15	-18	18.4	14.3	4.04	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Mehmet Okur	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	14	-16	18.7	14.4	4.24	16.3	17.4	-1.07
Darko Milicic	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.25	-8	20	-28	16.2	17.2	-1.00	15.8	17.1	-1.29
Darvin Ham	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	15.0	17.2	-2.16	14.9	17.0	-2.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Britton Johnsen	11	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.28	8	-20	28	14.5	17.1	-2.56	19.2	16.4	2.78
Derrick Dial	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-16	20	15.8	17.1	-1.27	18.6	16.5	2.08
Reece Gaines	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-19	26	16.6	16.9	-0.32	17.5	16.2	1.24
Andrew DeClercq	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-3	-6	16.8	16.8	0.03	15.4	17.6	-2.25
Steven Hunter	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-10	8	15.2	18.0	-2.72	17.8	16.2	1.59
Zaza Pachulia	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-7	2	19.2	15.5	3.74	17.4	16.6	0.82
Keith Bogans	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	0	-12	18.4	16.2	2.27	15.2	17.6	-2.36
Drew Gooden	62	61	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-8	4	16.3	18.0	-1.62	18.4	13.3	5.06
DeShawn Stevenson	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	16.8	16.6	0.19	15.5	21.5	-6.05
Tyronn Lue	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	7	-26	16.9	16.6	0.32	16.2	17.5	-1.24
Juwan Howard	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	6	-24	17.0	16.1	0.90	16.5	18.2	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 110, MIL 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 100, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAC 114, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%