NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	1.6 [1314]		MVP	Kevin Martin (OKC): +16.8%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	1.0 [1159]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOH): -8.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.00	0.03	17	73%	0.17	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.21	0.00	0.12	12	90%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	9	79%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	6	67%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	11	68%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	7	69%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	52%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	14	29%	-0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	27.5	14.8	25.8	1.5	30.3	125.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.2%

OKC +4.0%

OKC +5.8%

NOH -2.1%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.4	125.0	108.0	104.1
season	14.8	16.3		109.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.4	15.2	17.0	18.6	16.3
NOH	19.2	16.7	15.0	14.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	-6	27	16.1	16.7	-0.52	16.6	16.0	0.67
Kevin Martin	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	0	15	15.5	17.4	-1.87	16.5	16.3	0.23
Nick Collison	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	0	15	15.2	17.2	-2.02	17.2	15.8	1.34
Russell Westbrook	51	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	-3	21	16.0	16.8	-0.82	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Serge Ibaka	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	-1	17	16.2	16.5	-0.31	16.7	16.1	0.52
Thabo Sefolosha	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	3	9	16.1	16.5	-0.34	17.3	15.8	1.53
Hasheem Thabeet	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	16	-17	16.5	16.2	0.31	16.1	16.7	-0.52
Eric Maynor	26	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	12	-9	16.5	16.2	0.33	16.9	16.2	0.70
Kendrick Perkins	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	6	3	17.2	15.7	1.52	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Perry Jones	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	18.6	15.5	3.05	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Jeremy Lamb	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	17.4	16.2	1.21	15.6	16.5	-0.93
Reggie Jackson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	24	-33	17.2	16.2	1.09	14.7	16.7	-1.93
DeAndre Liggins	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	17.2	16.2	1.04	14.0	16.6	-2.63

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-20	25	14.8	16.8	-1.97	16.5	16.3	0.24
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	16.4	16.4	-0.05	17.2	15.4	1.81
Brian Roberts	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-22	29	15.6	17.1	-1.47	16.7	15.9	0.78
Robin Lopez	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-13	11	16.0	17.1	-1.07	17.0	15.3	1.65
Roger Mason Jr.	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-16	17	16.5	16.3	0.20	15.9	16.6	-0.74
Jason Smith	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-9	3	17.1	16.0	1.02	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Darius Miller	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-15	15	16.4	16.4	0.04	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Austin Rivers	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.26	-19	4	-23	16.6	16.2	0.44	16.4	16.2	0.28
Ryan Anderson	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.14	-16	1	-17	16.2	16.6	-0.40	15.3	17.1	-1.85
Greivis Vasquez	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	7	-29	17.1	15.6	1.47	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Anthony Davis	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.18	-19	4	-23	16.8	15.8	1.08	16.2	16.5	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 123, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
ORL 113, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
PHI 117, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%