NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	123		Excitement	1.7 [1309]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +8.1%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.0 [625]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -5.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	70%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	55%	0.01	0	0.00	13	92%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	6	17%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	79%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	117%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	57%	-0.00	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	7	25%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	6	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	11	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	54%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	7	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	13	40%	-0.04	4	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	31.2	16.6	30.2	2.7	27.1	134.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.6%

DAL +6.5%

DAL +6.6%

DAL +4.0%

NYK -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.2	16.1	15.5	123.0	96.9	104.0
season	14.9	15.8		108.2	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	10.4	13.3	14.8	14.2	13.2
NYK	19.6	16.2	13.4	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.66	37	-8	45	12.5	14.3	-1.80	16.7	15.1	1.59
Michael Finley	70	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	2	25	12.9	14.0	-1.16	16.6	14.8	1.83
Dirk Nowitzki	51	49	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.68	37	-8	45	12.7	13.7	-1.01	17.5	14.6	2.93
Jason Terry	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.64	32	-3	35	12.3	14.1	-1.75	16.9	15.2	1.65
Erick Dampier	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.37	22	7	15	12.4	13.7	-1.29	17.9	14.9	3.06
Shawn Bradley	43	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	20	-11	13.2	13.2	-0.06	14.2	17.3	-3.08
Devin Harris	52	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	32	-35	14.1	12.3	1.75	15.2	16.9	-1.65
Marquis Daniels	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	21	-13	14.4	12.4	2.02	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Alan Henderson	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	37	-45	13.7	12.7	1.01	14.6	17.5	-2.93
Darrell Armstrong	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	37	-45	14.2	12.9	1.36	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Calvin Booth	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	37	-45	14.2	12.9	1.36	15.2	16.4	-1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-42	55	11.9	16.9	-5.07	14.1	13.0	1.02
Trevor Ariza	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-40	51	13.5	16.9	-3.33	13.1	13.3	-0.18
Jerome Williams	42	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.51	16	-45	61	14.0	17.6	-3.64	13.1	13.3	-0.23
Moochie Norris	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-36	43	14.8	16.5	-1.77	13.9	12.9	0.98
Michael Sweetney	45	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-34	39	14.8	17.2	-2.35	14.6	11.9	2.69
Nazr Mohammed	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.37	-18	-11	-7	15.2	16.8	-1.61	13.0	13.4	-0.32
Vin Baker	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.22	-14	-15	1	20.0	14.9	5.15	11.6	13.7	-2.03
Allan Houston	43	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-13	-3	16.2	15.9	0.26	13.4	13.1	0.25
Tim Thomas	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.54	-29	0	-29	17.4	14.9	2.51	12.5	13.8	-1.25
Stephon Marbury	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.57	-34	5	-39	16.5	15.0	1.49	12.9	13.8	-0.90
Jamal Crawford	52	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.80	-42	13	-55	18.0	13.8	4.22	13.5	12.9	0.56
Kurt Thomas	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.83	-44	15	-59	17.1	14.6	2.53	12.9	13.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 110, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
MEM 104, TOR 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
ORL 113, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%