NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	1.5 [1311]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +5.0%
Toronto Raptors	74		Comeback	1.0 [643]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -8.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	73%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	66%	0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	44%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	0.00	0.11	14	76%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	14	43%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	4	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.10	12	68%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	20	35%	-0.03	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	26.7	16.6	25.0	1.7	26.6	120.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.1%

MEM +2.5%

MEM +6.1%

MEM +9.1%

MEM +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.5	113.0	79.6	104.0
season	16.4	15.1		103.7	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	12.8	15.4	18.8	15.3
TOR	16.5	16.6	14.6	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.31	25	5	20	15.1	15.9	-0.77	16.1	15.2	0.86
Shane Battier	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	3	24	14.8	16.8	-2.03	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Mike Miller	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.48	28	2	26	14.3	16.3	-2.01	16.3	15.3	1.01
Pau Gasol	53	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	5	20	14.6	16.3	-1.71	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Earl Watson	46	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	23	-16	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.9	15.7	0.20
Jason Williams	42	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.34	20	10	10	14.8	15.8	-0.99	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Bonzi Wells	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	22	-14	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Brian Cardinal	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	19	-8	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Dahntay Jones	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	33	-36	18.8	14.3	4.49	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Jake Tsakalidis	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	16.6	15.2	1.40	17.2	15.6	1.59
Antonio Burks	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	33	-36	17.7	15.0	2.70	15.5	15.8	-0.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-20	10	15.5	15.8	-0.32	13.0	15.6	-2.63
Lamond Murray	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-28	26	14.1	16.0	-1.92	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Rafael Araujo	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-23	16	15.5	15.8	-0.38	12.8	15.9	-3.07
Pape Sow	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-28	26	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.6	14.7	1.91
Milt Palacio	53	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-22	14	15.7	15.9	-0.20	16.0	14.6	1.42
Rafer Alston	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.32	-20	-10	-10	15.1	16.4	-1.31	14.3	16.4	-2.04
Jalen Rose	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.31	-21	-9	-12	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Matt Bonner	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-17	4	16.7	14.4	2.31	16.5	13.7	2.79
Morris Peterson	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.26	-20	-10	-10	15.5	17.0	-1.51	15.7	14.0	1.68
Donyell Marshall	26	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-9	-12	16.6	15.5	1.15	14.0	15.9	-1.85
Chris Bosh	91	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.32	-26	-4	-22	15.8	17.0	-1.24	15.6	7.0	8.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 123, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
CLE 130, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SAC 124, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%