NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	130		Excitement	1.6 [1303]		MVP	Gerald Green (BOS): +5.5%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	1.0 [1104]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -7.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.21	0.00	0.18	18	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	14	66%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.10	11	85%	0.04	4	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	117%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.03	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	11	70%	0.00	3	-0.02	5	100%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	9	55%	-0.05	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	17	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	32.1	16.7	29.2	2.8	25.3	135.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.5%

CLE +0.0%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +7.2%

CLE +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.8	132.7	86.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		113.5	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.7	15.0	14.9	14.9
BOS	15.5	13.6	15.0	12.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	65	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.86	46	-2	48	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.2	12.1	3.10
Kyrie Irving	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.76	37	7	30	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.3	12.5	2.79
Kevin Love	52	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.74	35	9	26	14.7	15.1	-0.36	15.7	12.4	3.35
Tristan Thompson	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	25	-6	15.3	14.5	0.74	15.7	12.7	3.04
JR Smith	51	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.55	28	16	12	14.9	14.9	-0.07	15.5	12.7	2.87
Iman Shumpert	26	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.36	20	24	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Kyle Korver	25	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.24	16	28	-12	14.7	15.0	-0.24	12.2	15.0	-2.71
Deron Williams	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.37	20	24	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.29	13.2	14.8	-1.56
Richard Jefferson	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	38	-32	14.8	15.0	-0.15	12.2	15.6	-3.42
Channing Frye	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	46	-48	14.4	15.1	-0.67	12.4	15.0	-2.62
Dahntay Jones	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	41	-38	15.8	14.8	1.07	12.1	14.5	-2.41
James Jones	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	48	-52	15.5	14.7	0.80	12.2	14.7	-2.50
Derrick Williams	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	48	-52	15.5	14.7	0.80	12.2	14.7	-2.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Mickey	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-48	52	12.2	14.7	-2.50	15.5	14.7	0.80
Tyler Zeller	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-43	42	13.3	14.6	-1.37	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Amir Johnson	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	-39	34	15.0	13.9	1.11	15.3	14.8	0.47
Jonas Jerebko	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.36	-14	-30	16	13.3	14.7	-1.37	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Kelly Olynyk	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-38	32	13.3	14.4	-1.09	15.1	14.9	0.20
Terry Rozier	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-39	34	12.7	15.2	-2.50	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Jaylen Brown	51	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.28	-14	-30	16	13.0	15.5	-2.49	14.9	14.9	0.00
Gerald Green	30	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.36	-19	-25	6	15.2	13.8	1.48	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Marcus Smart	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.44	-24	-20	-4	13.6	14.8	-1.21	15.5	14.2	1.28
Avery Bradley	64	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.83	-42	-2	-40	15.3	12.2	3.13	15.1	14.6	0.45
Al Horford	55	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.60	-34	-10	-24	15.3	12.8	2.51	15.4	14.3	1.05
Jae Crowder	46	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	-16	-12	15.2	13.3	1.88	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Isaiah Thomas	37	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.49	-32	-12	-20	15.2	13.6	1.53	14.3	15.2	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, TOR 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
UTA 114, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
UTA 137, NYK 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%