inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 88 Excitement6.3 [528] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +12.2%
Golden State Warriors 92 Comeback1.4 [691] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -21.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.036100%0.1200.002100%0.01
Ivan Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.01875%0.112-0.08425%-0.04
Mike Scott0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Johan Petro-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00527%-0.0400.001100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0130%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.060,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011644%0.023-0.094100%0.03
DeShawn Stevenson-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.00939%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.060.021237%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Louis Williams-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.150.00-0.150.011451%-0.032-0.12771%-0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.110.110.060.04-0.003100%0.131-0.03367%0.02
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00677%0.111-0.031100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.001163%0.123-0.09875%-0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00662%0.083-0.084100%0.03
Charles Jenkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01250%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06-0.06-0.090.02-0.011243%0.044-0.104100%0.04
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.011749%0.055-0.13367%-0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.080.021129%-0.133-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.031.215.425.52.840.6141.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +24.0%
GSW +18.2%
GSW +22.3%
ATL -19.0%
GSW +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLGSWNBAATLGSWNBA
this game14.915.615.493.696.8104.1
season15.114.6102.6104.6
opponent15.315.5103.7102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.317.212.713.914.9
GSW16.416.215.614.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Teague5354-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-6814.914.9-0.0215.415.8-0.31
Zaza Pachulia4847-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-3215.314.40.9015.116.1-0.98
Mike Scott76-0.11-0.390.290.04-51-617.014.72.2818.715.43.30
Johan Petro99-0.11-0.390.280.04-51-616.014.81.2218.815.23.53
Anthony Tolliver2222-0.23-0.270.050.01-84-1215.214.80.3817.415.02.32
Kyle Korver7577-0.23-0.270.04-0.416-101614.516.3-1.7215.316.8-1.55
Josh Smith8181-0.23-0.270.04-0.437-111814.815.6-0.8415.018.6-3.59
DeShawn Stevenson6062-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.301-5614.914.80.1615.316.1-0.83
Ivan Johnson4143-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.330-4414.315.4-1.1115.715.40.30
Anthony Morrow2322-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-139-2215.914.61.3517.115.12.03
Louis Williams5152-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-40-414.515.3-0.7515.315.9-0.60

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andris Biedrins29310.400.100.300.0811-71816.015.40.6615.914.41.55
Stephen Curry65640.370.130.230.3413-215.016.7-1.6914.715.3-0.60
Carl Landry43430.350.150.210.186-2816.115.10.9815.014.80.15
Draymond Green21190.280.220.060.2222015.715.50.1714.215.1-0.92
David Lee74730.270.230.050.30-15-615.416.1-0.6614.715.5-0.75
Klay Thompson71690.260.240.030.29-15-615.316.3-0.9515.114.30.78
Jarrett Jack32340.230.27-0.050.056-2815.715.50.2114.615.0-0.39
Richard Jefferson23240.210.29-0.090.065-1617.015.11.8714.515.0-0.53
Harrison Barnes80780.200.30-0.100.35-59-1415.317.3-2.0014.914.60.32
Charles Jenkins21-0.010.51-0.520.08-37-1012.515.6-3.1510.014.9-4.95
Festus Ezeli3534-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-15-616.115.30.8015.114.80.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 80, POR 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,194.2%
NYK 93, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,194.2%
CLE 88, CHH 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.98,0.99,194.0%