NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	5.9 [606]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +11.9%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	1.3 [737]		LVP	Bobby Phills (CHH): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	11	75%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	82%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	86%	0.07	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	4	-0.17	4	75%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	0.00	-0.09	0.06	7	65%	-0.03	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	12	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	15	93%	0.07
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	13	74%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	12	71%	0.18	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.05	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	8	33%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	25.4	15.6	27.5	1.8	31.2	128.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -14.5%

CHH +21.6%

CHH +15.4%

CHH +22.4%

CHH +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	15.6	97.8	106.7	102.5
season	15.4	15.7		99.4	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		102.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.2	17.1	16.0	15.1	15.1
CHH	19.1	14.2	19.2	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Brooks	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-6	4	15.2	15.1	0.13	17.4	16.8	0.59
Shawnelle Scott	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	13.5	15.1	-1.64	20.5	16.8	3.68
Danny Ferry	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	16.3	14.5	1.86	14.2	18.3	-4.10
Brevin Knight	47	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.6	15.6	-1.01	16.9	16.9	0.07
Shawn Kemp	46	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-6	4	15.6	14.6	1.04	18.1	15.4	2.61
Vitaly Potapenko	42	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	13.1	16.9	-3.80	17.5	16.4	1.12
Wesley Person	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	15.6	12.2	3.35	17.2	15.1	2.13
Cedric Henderson	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-4	0	14.7	17.0	-2.28	17.0	16.3	0.73
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.2	1.33	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Derek Anderson	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	15.3	14.8	0.54	16.1	18.0	-1.95

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	16.9	16.8	0.15	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Glen Rice	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	3	2	17.3	13.2	4.09	14.7	19.1	-4.46
Vlade Divac	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	1	6	16.9	17.0	-0.19	15.0	15.3	-0.23
David Wesley	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	5	-2	17.2	15.8	1.41	15.0	15.3	-0.24
Bobby Phills	64	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	16.2	18.6	-2.41	15.2	14.8	0.41
Corey Beck	11	12	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	17.9	16.8	1.15	16.3	14.9	1.42
Dell Curry	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	16.3	17.2	-0.93	15.2	15.1	0.14
Matt Geiger	19	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	8	-8	17.6	16.7	0.86	14.9	15.2	-0.32
B.J. Armstrong	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	7	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.24	16.2	14.9	1.32
J.R. Reid	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	16.1	17.1	-0.92	15.8	15.0	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	94.0%
GSW 89, VAN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.97,1,1	93.3%
CHI 91, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	93.2%