NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	6.7 [450]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +18.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	99		Comeback	1.9 [713]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -37.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	17	41%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	10	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	46%	-0.07	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	12	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.20	-0.17	0.01	30	37%	-0.22	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.05

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	15	69%	0.29	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	18	61%	0.20	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	16	50%	-0.06	5	-0.17	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	26.2	15.7	23.2	2.4	37.6	131.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +93.4%

GSW -7.6%

GSW -18.0%

VAN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	VAN	NBA	GSW	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.5	93.7	102.1	100.9
season	15.0	15.6		95.3	97.4
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.4	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	16.9	16.8	17.3	16.0
VAN	13.2	12.6	16.7	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	37	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-14	18	14.8	16.7	-1.89	14.6	13.6	0.98
Vonteego Cummings	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	15.8	16.0	-0.26	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Marc Jackson	63	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	14.7	18.6	-3.97	13.6	15.0	-1.45
Adam Keefe	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	16.8	15.9	0.90	14.6	13.9	0.67
Bob Sura	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	15.6	17.4	-1.79	14.6	12.3	2.31
Mookie Blaylock	79	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	16.0	16.0	-0.01	14.2	13.1	1.08
Corie Blount	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	1	-12	17.4	14.2	3.21	14.3	13.7	0.64
Antawn Jamison	89	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	16.0	16.2	-0.19	14.2	12.2	1.99
Larry Hughes	51	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	4	-18	17.5	14.2	3.24	12.8	15.6	-2.87

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-3	16	13.9	14.9	-0.99	15.7	17.9	-2.24
Erick Strickland	51	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	13.1	15.1	-1.97	16.9	15.0	1.96
Michael Dickerson	90	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	1	8	14.0	14.7	-0.74	16.0	15.4	0.67
Bryant Reeves	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	14.4	13.4	0.97	15.0	18.0	-2.98
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	4	2	13.9	14.6	-0.64	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Stromile Swift	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	2	6	13.6	14.2	-0.63	17.5	15.4	2.14
Tony Massenburg	30	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	5	0	12.9	14.5	-1.59	17.7	15.3	2.45
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	10	-10	15.5	13.7	1.86	17.7	15.6	2.07
Grant Long	39	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	20	-30	15.8	12.8	2.99	14.4	17.1	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%
SAS 101, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.95,0.97,1	92.9%
DAL 104, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.44,0.56,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.9,1	92.6%