NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	6.1 [555]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +22.4%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.5 [774]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -21.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	11	67%	0.13	4	-0.08	11	73%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	13	58%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	7	70%	0.05	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	19	36%	-0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.03	16	69%	0.28	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	18	62%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	13	55%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	2	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	12	39%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	31.0	20.4	23.6	3.4	49.3	153.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.6%

IND +8.6%

NYK -6.8%

IND +9.9%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.5	98.9	107.5	100.9
season	16.4	15.9		99.2	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.3	16.3	17.5	13.7	16.1
IND	15.5	15.7	13.8	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	2	2	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-9	11	18.0	16.0	1.96	15.5	14.7	0.81
Travis Knight	9	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.83	12.3	14.9	-2.62
Charlie Ward	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	14.6	18.4	-3.78	14.1	15.6	-1.56
Othella Harrington	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	16.1	16.1	-0.05	15.6	12.4	3.16
Kurt Thomas	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	16.2	15.5	0.75	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Glen Rice	90	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.1	16.5	-0.43	14.6	16.7	-2.13
Mark Jackson	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	2	-11	17.2	12.5	4.74	14.9	14.0	0.92
Latrell Sprewell	94	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.1	0.0	16.09	14.7	0.0	14.71

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	57	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	13.9	16.1	-2.20	16.6	15.2	1.46
Reggie Miller	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-3	13	15.4	10.6	4.76	16.6	13.3	3.29
Travis Best	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	14.5	15.5	-0.96	15.7	17.9	-2.27
Jalen Rose	87	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	14.6	16.8	-2.27	15.7	22.0	-6.32
Austin Croshere	47	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	0	7	13.9	15.5	-1.65	15.4	16.7	-1.36
Jermaine O'Neal	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.41	-5	12	-17	16.1	11.7	4.34	16.6	15.0	1.54
Derrick McKey	32	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	1	5	13.1	15.6	-2.51	14.6	16.9	-2.35
Sam Perkins	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	18.1	14.3	3.80	19.4	15.7	3.71
Al Harrington	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	16	-25	14.2	14.8	-0.58	17.1	15.9	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	94.2%
CLE 96, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.94,1,1,1	94.0%
MIL 85, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%