NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	2.6 [1000]		MVP	Cartier Martin (WAS): +8.8%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	1.3 [203]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -12.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	8	12%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	12	83%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	11	64%	0.10	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	12	36%	0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.8	28.5	16.3	22.5	1.7	26.1	118.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.5%

PHI -0.8%

WAS +6.9%

WAS +1.6%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.6	84.4	109.0	102.8
season	15.6	15.0		101.0	99.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		104.6	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	18.0	14.2	13.5	15.1
WAS	14.3	17.1	17.1	20.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-15	9	14.8	15.1	-0.30	22.8	16.7	6.17
Tony Battie	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-29	37	13.3	15.6	-2.29	19.4	16.5	2.81
Spencer Hawes	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	-12	3	15.7	14.7	1.08	13.4	19.5	-6.10
Evan Turner	57	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-14	7	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.7	17.6	-0.87
Sam Young	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-9	-3	16.1	14.9	1.23	19.3	16.6	2.72
Elton Brand	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-13	5	15.4	14.6	0.84	16.2	18.6	-2.41
Louis Williams	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-20	19	13.6	16.1	-2.59	18.5	16.1	2.36
Nikola Vucevic	16	16	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	-2	-17	15.2	15.1	0.09	20.1	16.4	3.71
Andre Iguodala	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-9	-3	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.0	19.9	-3.95
Jodie Meeks	44	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-8	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.75	20.0	14.6	5.42
Jrue Holiday	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-6	-9	16.3	13.2	3.06	15.1	20.6	-5.49
Thaddeus Young	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-10	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.16	18.3	15.9	2.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	2	17	18.4	14.1	4.21	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Jan Vesely	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	5	11	19.2	14.3	4.87	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Cartier Martin	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	1	19	18.9	15.2	3.62	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Roger Mason Jr.	28	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	12	-3	19.3	16.0	3.27	14.6	15.4	-0.77
John Wall	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	4	13	16.3	19.4	-3.12	15.6	13.8	1.82
Shelvin Mack	23	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	17	-13	19.4	16.3	3.12	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Jordan Crawford	61	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	11	-1	16.0	19.3	-3.27	15.5	14.3	1.17
Nene	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	13	-5	14.7	20.2	-5.47	15.4	14.8	0.61
Chris Singleton	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	20	-19	15.0	19.2	-4.20	15.4	14.9	0.49
Trevor Booker	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	20	-19	13.0	17.8	-4.78	15.4	15.1	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 117, DAL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIL 71, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
IND 103, BOS 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%