NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	71		Excitement	2.9 [1187]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +13.0%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.2 [1106]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -9.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	19	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	12	37%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	11	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	53%	0.02	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	13	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	24.6	17.5	29.5	2.3	27.4	127.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.4%

CHI +8.9%

CHI +20.5%

MIL -6.8%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.1	77.2	93.5	104.2
season	14.5	15.5		100.5	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	16.2	15.6	14.0	15.3
CHI	12.2	15.8	18.7	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	68	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-19	22	15.2	15.5	-0.32	15.7	16.3	-0.68
Johnny O'Bryant	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-10	4	11.5	15.6	-4.07	18.2	15.7	2.50
Miles Plumlee	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-16	16	15.5	15.2	0.27	16.6	15.5	1.08
Zaza Pachulia	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-11	6	15.0	15.3	-0.35	11.5	16.5	-4.99
John Henson	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-3	-10	17.0	14.5	2.51	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Tyler Ennis	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-8	0	14.3	15.8	-1.48	17.7	14.9	2.82
Jared Dudley	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-8	0	14.6	15.7	-1.04	17.1	15.1	1.94
Jerryd Bayless	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-8	0	15.8	14.3	1.48	14.9	17.7	-2.82
Giannis Antetokounmpo	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-9	2	15.4	15.2	0.24	15.9	15.7	0.24
Khris Middleton	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	1	-18	15.6	14.5	1.14	14.9	18.5	-3.58
O.J. Mayo	64	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-5	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.9	13.5	3.39

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	1	14	16.8	14.1	2.74	14.8	16.2	-1.48
Tony Snell	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	5	6	16.4	14.7	1.69	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Joakim Noah	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	-5	26	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.3	15.3	0.01
Jimmy Butler	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	2	12	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.4	14.8	0.58
Aaron Brooks	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	3	10	17.7	14.7	2.98	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Mike Dunleavy	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	3	10	13.9	17.4	-3.53	16.0	14.8	1.19
Derrick Rose	65	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	13	-10	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.7	14.3	1.41
Pau Gasol	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	13	-10	14.7	17.7	-2.98	15.9	14.4	1.51
Nazr Mohammed	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Cameron Bairstow	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.0	15.3	-0.31
E'Twaun Moore	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Doug McDermott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.0	15.3	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 117, DAL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHI 91, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHI 76, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%