inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 117 Excitement2.8 [1204] MVPKevin Martin (MIN): +12.7%
Dallas Mavericks 131 Comeback1.2 [1221] LVPZach LaVine (MIN): -9.6%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.280.000.151785%0.141-0.016100%0.01
Gorgui Dieng0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01960%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Shabazz Muhammad0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.140.000.12795%0.0220.005100%0.00
Chase Budinger0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02350%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Glenn Robinson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mo Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.001054%0.022-0.03475%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Anthony Bennett-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.06856%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01636%-0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Robbie Hummel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01437%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.011439%-0.042-0.00560%-0.01
Zach LaVine-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.03631%-0.035-0.0610%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.03975%0.0900.002100%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.010.02693%0.0810.00250%-0.01
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.120.000.072164%0.073-0.025100%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02958%0.0400.006100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.03771%0.0400.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02844%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.110.000.09775%0.0200.002100%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021246%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03571%0.0120.00450%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.63.329.217.429.31.733.2134.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.7%
MIN -4.1%
DAL +0.2%
DAL +18.2%
DAL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game14.514.015.1115.8129.7104.2
season15.014.6101.2107.6
opponent15.015.0105.0110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.816.013.912.814.5
DAL15.514.013.213.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glenn Robinson120.00-0.500.50-0.062-16185.014.6-9.6313.014.0-1.00
Shabazz Muhammad3235-0.02-0.480.47-0.3110-243412.015.7-3.7612.914.5-1.59
Nikola Pekovic2526-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-7014.914.40.4613.714.1-0.34
Zach LaVine4040-0.18-0.320.14-0.01-6-8214.014.9-0.8414.513.70.82
Andrew Wiggins4847-0.19-0.310.130.16-12-2-1015.613.52.0813.814.1-0.32
Chase Budinger2930-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-141413.215.1-1.8615.813.22.59
Anthony Bennett6262-0.23-0.270.030.21-151-1614.814.20.5813.315.0-1.70
Robbie Hummel3030-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-9-5-415.214.30.9514.913.61.36
Kevin Martin6159-0.30-0.20-0.100.32-217-2815.113.61.4613.714.4-0.69
Corey Brewer6362-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-121014.115.3-1.1713.914.2-0.28
Gorgui Dieng5351-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.26-2-121015.114.01.1014.613.31.35
Mo Williams6161-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-6-214.914.00.8413.714.5-0.82

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki46470.390.110.28-0.1418-42214.613.51.1115.114.01.11
Al-Farouq Aminu47480.350.150.210.2159-414.213.80.4014.015.0-1.02
Monta Ellis73750.300.200.09-0.1716-21813.615.0-1.4115.212.62.58
Chandler Parsons59590.290.210.08-0.03113814.113.80.3715.213.61.61
Jose Juan Barea46450.260.240.020.14410-613.914.0-0.0813.715.2-1.49
Brandan Wright46440.250.25-0.010.19212-1013.514.4-0.8814.214.8-0.63
Tyson Chandler48510.230.27-0.04-0.3219-52413.814.2-0.4015.213.81.38
Devin Harris41410.220.28-0.060.0177014.113.90.1616.113.42.67
Jameer Nelson46460.180.32-0.15-0.12104613.814.1-0.2414.814.30.42
Greg Smith210.020.48-0.460.02014-1423.513.89.7121.014.56.53
Richard Jefferson28270.010.49-0.470.16-519-2413.414.2-0.8112.815.2-2.40
Jae Crowder15140.000.50-0.500.23-822-3013.614.0-0.4510.115.3-5.18
Charlie Villanueva870.000.50-0.500.26-923-3216.613.82.878.015.0-7.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 65, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
SAC 101, DAL 1270.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIL 71, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%