NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	65		Excitement	2.8 [1193]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +8.9%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	1.1 [1156]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	13	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	14	32%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
John Salmons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.06	13	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.00	-0.01	20	41%	-0.07	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.01	-0.15	14	46%	0.11	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	6	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.06	6	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.02	6	53%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	13	41%	-0.01	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.7	31.1	16.5	29.4	3.4	27.4	139.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.8%

BOS +6.4%

PHI -14.2%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	18.4	14.2	15.7	74.7	98.9	100.5
season	16.2	14.4		96.7	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		102.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.6	21.1	18.2	15.0	18.4
BOS	11.7	14.2	15.4	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-19	14	16.4	18.6	-2.18	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Zendon Hamilton	13	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-25	26	20.1	18.1	1.97	12.3	14.6	-2.28
Greg Buckner	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-19	14	17.9	18.7	-0.78	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Willie Green	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.22	-12	-12	0	18.3	18.5	-0.17	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Kyle Korver	38	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-20	16	16.5	19.9	-3.38	15.0	13.5	1.43
Aaron McKie	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.28	-20	-4	-16	18.6	18.0	0.60	14.3	14.0	0.30
Samuel Dalembert	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-10	-4	18.2	18.9	-0.71	14.7	13.3	1.39
John Salmons	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.24	-22	-2	-20	18.5	18.0	0.46	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Eric Snow	62	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-8	-8	18.9	17.2	1.74	14.5	13.6	0.84
Kenny Thomas	68	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	-1	-22	19.1	15.7	3.41	14.4	13.4	1.00

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	61	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	7	10	14.3	14.0	0.36	18.4	18.4	0.00
Paul Pierce	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	10	4	13.6	15.0	-1.35	19.6	16.8	2.77
Chucky Atkins	56	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	12	0	13.8	14.9	-1.17	18.5	18.3	0.16
Brandon Hunter	27	26	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	10	4	13.6	14.5	-0.83	17.9	18.6	-0.68
Jumaine Jones	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	11	2	14.7	13.8	0.87	18.2	18.6	-0.36
Walter McCarty	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	14	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.79	19.0	17.8	1.19
Jiri Welsch	56	55	0.23	0.28	-0.05	-0.16	13	11	2	14.9	13.1	1.80	18.4	18.4	-0.01
Marcus Banks	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	12	0	14.9	13.8	1.17	18.3	18.5	-0.16
Chris Mihm	28	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	19	-14	14.3	14.2	0.16	16.7	19.1	-2.44
Mark Blount	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	16	-8	14.2	14.2	-0.06	18.8	18.0	0.75
Kendrick Perkins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.7	14.2	-0.56	12.3	18.6	-6.29
Michael Stewart	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	13.7	14.2	-0.56	12.3	18.6	-6.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 117, DAL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
PHX 103, GSW 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 98, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%