NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	2.6 [1211]		MVP	Jerome Moiso (NOH): +4.9%
New Orleans Hornets	113		Comeback	1.1 [928]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -4.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.08	15	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	15	38%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	4	50%	0.03	5	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	10	71%	0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	77%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	18	51%	0.05	2	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	7	29%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	19	52%	-0.00	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.2	14.8	29.2	2.5	26.6	128.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.7%

NOH +3.9%

NOH +18.0%

NOH +2.3%

NOH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOH	NBA	MIL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.5	105.4	121.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.9		106.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		99.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.2	15.8	12.1	14.6	14.7
NOH	13.8	15.5	19.2	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	12	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	16.0	14.5	1.51	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Jason Caffey	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-6	-3	15.6	14.6	0.96	17.7	16.1	1.61
Ervin Johnson	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-8	1	16.3	13.3	3.01	17.0	15.7	1.25
Marcus Haislip	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-13	11	12.5	16.7	-4.20	15.5	17.0	-1.51
Sam Cassell	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-16	17	15.3	13.4	1.95	17.4	13.9	3.51
Tim Thomas	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-11	7	14.6	14.8	-0.12	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Toni Kukoc	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-5	-5	13.9	15.7	-1.78	15.4	17.3	-1.88
Desmond Mason	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	15.5	13.1	2.39	17.5	13.9	3.56
Michael Redd	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-1	-13	14.1	15.7	-1.62	14.9	18.7	-3.79
Gary Payton	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	2	-19	14.6	14.9	-0.31	16.4	16.0	0.46

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	5	5	16.6	15.6	0.98	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Jamaal Magloire	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	1	13	17.2	14.7	2.50	15.1	13.9	1.25
P.J. Brown	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	3	9	16.8	15.4	1.42	14.1	15.7	-1.52
Baron Davis	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	5	5	17.4	12.8	4.59	15.1	13.2	1.91
George Lynch	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	6	3	18.4	14.1	4.30	15.3	14.0	1.31
Kenny Anderson	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.15	14	1	13	14.0	18.3	-4.33	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Courtney Alexander	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	7	1	14.1	18.6	-4.58	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Jerome Moiso	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	12	-9	15.4	16.8	-1.42	15.7	14.1	1.52
Robert Traylor	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	13	-11	13.2	17.3	-4.14	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Robert Pack	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.2	15.9	3.29	13.0	14.9	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 65, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHH 82, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIL 106, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%