NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	2.8 [1208]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +9.7%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.1 [925]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -7.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	13	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	18	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	16	62%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.02	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	12	73%	0.12	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	17	57%	0.11	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	82%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Nathan Jawai	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.1	17.4	27.5	2.3	31.6	137.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.8%

TOR +16.7%

TOR +4.9%

MIL -0.7%

MIL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.5	112.8	119.8	106.4
season	15.0	15.1		104.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		108.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	16.8	15.2	14.1	15.0
TOR	16.1	12.7	14.2	18.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	16	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	14.9	15.0	-0.10	16.6	15.0	1.62
Malik Allen	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	17.0	14.8	2.19	11.2	15.8	-4.57
Damon Jones	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-13	17	12.8	15.9	-3.15	15.5	15.2	0.29
Joe Alexander	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	15.8	14.6	1.26	15.9	15.0	0.87
Francisco Elson	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	7	-23	15.7	14.7	0.96	13.4	16.1	-2.74
Charlie Bell	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-11	13	14.8	15.5	-0.68	15.7	14.3	1.44
Luc Mbah a Moute	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	16.0	13.7	2.32	15.6	14.8	0.75
Keith Bogans	41	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	15.2	14.9	0.31	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Richard Jefferson	58	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	2	-13	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Charlie Villanueva	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	6	-21	15.1	14.9	0.25	15.6	14.9	0.74
Ramon Sessions	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	8	-25	14.7	15.7	-1.00	14.4	17.1	-2.67

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	79	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-1	11	16.2	11.2	5.00	15.3	13.9	1.33
Jose Calderon	77	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	2	5	15.4	14.7	0.76	15.1	14.8	0.26
Shawn Marion	82	79	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	2	5	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.1	19.9	-5.77
Anthony Parker	74	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	9	-9	16.3	12.0	4.33	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Jason Kapono	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-9	27	13.3	16.9	-3.60	16.7	13.4	3.28
Andrea Bargnani	68	64	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	11	-13	15.6	14.5	1.17	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Jake Voskuhl	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	13.6	15.8	-2.14	16.6	14.5	2.04
Roko Leni Ukic	19	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	14.7	15.4	-0.76	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Joey Graham	13	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	6	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.9	15.3	-1.38
Nathan Jawai	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	3.0	15.7	-12.69	11.0	15.1	-4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 71, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DAL 89, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIL 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%