NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	2.7 [1229]		MVP	Nate Robinson (BOS): +12.3%
Boston Celtics	122		Comeback	1.3 [1167]		LVP	A.J. Price (IND): -6.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	14	66%	0.03	2	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	76%	0.08	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	7	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.03	4	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.04	9	83%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	7	87%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.05	1	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	62%	0.06	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	34.5	15.6	25.5	2.6	30.0	136.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.4%

BOS +5.6%

IND -0.2%

BOS +11.3%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	15.3	98.1	117.3	106.0
season	14.2	15.5		102.2	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	13.4	12.7	14.5	13.5
BOS	12.5	13.3	15.0	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-16	13	15.7	13.3	2.39	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Mike Dunleavy	9	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-14	9	11.3	13.7	-2.41	13.2	14.1	-0.92
A.J. Price	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-15	11	14.0	13.3	0.66	14.3	13.9	0.44
Dahntay Jones	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-11	3	14.0	13.2	0.82	14.8	13.4	1.43
Danny Granger	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-8	-3	13.4	13.7	-0.27	14.1	14.0	0.09
Roy Hibbert	88	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-10	1	13.9	11.5	2.39	14.2	13.4	0.74
Josh McRoberts	47	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	13.4	13.6	-0.23	14.5	13.6	0.87
Earl Watson	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-7	-5	12.9	14.4	-1.44	14.1	13.9	0.25
Brandon Rush	91	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-5	-9	13.6	13.1	0.45	13.7	15.9	-2.26
Troy Murphy	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-4	-11	13.2	14.5	-1.31	13.6	15.2	-1.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	9	1	14.4	13.7	0.71	13.6	13.4	0.20
Rasheed Wallace	40	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	7	5	14.5	13.7	0.85	13.2	13.7	-0.48
Ray Allen	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	9	1	13.7	14.5	-0.76	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Rajon Rondo	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	9	1	13.7	14.5	-0.76	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Michael Finley	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	8	3	14.5	13.7	0.79	14.2	13.2	1.05
Nate Robinson	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	10	-1	14.5	13.7	0.76	13.8	13.3	0.49
Paul Pierce	49	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	12	-5	13.8	14.2	-0.44	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Kendrick Perkins	52	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	11	-3	13.6	14.4	-0.83	13.3	13.8	-0.47
Kevin Garnett	51	53	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	10	-1	13.7	14.4	-0.71	13.4	13.6	-0.20
Marquis Daniels	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	12	-5	14.6	13.7	0.87	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Tony Allen	21	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	16	-13	13.6	14.1	-0.57	14.0	13.4	0.58
Shelden Williams	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.7	13.3	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 70, NJN 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SAC 101, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIN 117, DAL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%