inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 70 Excitement2.5 [1243] MVPKeyon Dooling (NJN): +8.8%
New Jersey Nets 114 Comeback1.3 [522] LVPAnthony Carter (DEN): -5.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.070.00-0.07425%0.011-0.00425%-0.00
Sonny Weems0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04275%-0.0000.004100%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02753%0.043-0.053100%0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00839%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02844%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.011150%0.013-0.04850%-0.02
Kenyon Martin-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011141%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00750%-0.033-0.03250%-0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.01480%0.0900.002100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.071076%0.104-0.041782%0.03
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.051055%0.053-0.022100%0.01
Josh Boone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Maurice Ager0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01543%0.0000.00450%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.021247%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Brook Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.000.041254%-0.021-0.00475%-0.01
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.040.000.05855%-0.0200.00475%-0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.021254%-0.0220.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.832.515.427.21.826.5131.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +12.3%
NJN +13.2%
NJN +11.5%
NJN +9.8%
NJN +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNJNNBADENNJNNBA
this game15.515.115.573.7122.6106.4
season14.416.0109.5106.5
opponent15.515.7108.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.117.215.916.415.5
NJN15.218.812.914.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sonny Weems15150.00-0.500.500.23-8-362817.415.22.2212.715.6-2.83
Johan Petro13130.00-0.500.500.35-12-322018.215.13.1311.215.7-4.51
Renaldo Balkman2826-0.00-0.500.500.29-10-342415.515.6-0.0913.715.7-1.96
Dahntay Jones3939-0.05-0.450.390.44-17-271015.915.30.5913.915.9-2.00
Linas Kleiza3432-0.24-0.260.030.20-15-291415.415.6-0.2215.814.71.07
Nene4242-0.24-0.260.010.23-16-281216.514.71.7916.513.92.63
Chris Andersen3937-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-281214.216.4-2.2016.114.51.57
Carmelo Anthony5253-0.30-0.20-0.090.26-19-25615.016.1-1.1216.113.82.29
Anthony Carter5149-0.30-0.20-0.100.61-31-13-1816.014.91.1114.216.2-2.00
Chauncey Billups5757-0.35-0.15-0.200.44-27-17-1015.715.30.4415.913.92.03
J.R. Smith4946-0.37-0.13-0.250.36-25-19-614.816.3-1.5115.215.00.26
Kenyon Martin5656-0.37-0.13-0.250.33-24-20-414.916.4-1.5415.015.3-0.32

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling39400.390.110.28-0.252222017.013.73.3015.215.7-0.52
Josh Boone33340.380.120.27-0.061529-1417.813.64.1115.515.6-0.09
Devin Harris61630.370.130.23-0.5431131814.716.0-1.3114.717.2-2.50
Trenton Hassell55550.360.140.21-0.4427171015.614.31.2915.914.91.00
Vince Carter63630.340.160.17-0.312222016.013.32.6215.914.90.98
Jarvis Hayes54570.330.170.16-0.5229151414.416.1-1.6315.415.7-0.22
Ryan Anderson72730.220.28-0.07-0.6028161215.015.6-0.6015.216.6-1.39
Brook Lopez46470.120.38-0.27-0.441925-614.216.0-1.8014.816.2-1.38
Chris Douglas-Roberts16160.010.49-0.49-0.20737-3013.115.5-2.4716.415.31.10
Maurice Ager12130.000.50-0.50-0.291034-2410.915.7-4.8118.215.13.13
Sean Williams14140.000.50-0.50-0.291034-2411.915.7-3.8318.015.12.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 79, ATL 1110.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
PHX 79, CLE 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
IND 103, BOS 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%