NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	10.0 [53]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +65.5%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	4.4 [190]		LVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): -28.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.65	0.13	0.53	0.01	16	67%	0.67	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Brandan Wright	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	9	78%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.15	-0.05	-0.01	20	62%	0.12	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.04	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.05	0.21	-0.04	16	37%	0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	7	89%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.06	0.01	14	71%	0.26	1	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	15	53%	0.12	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Courtney Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	7	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.19,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.21	-0.01	20	36%	-0.23	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	30.2	15.8	23.2	2.3	31.5	1.7	22.6	155.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.9%

DAL +8.8%

HOU -28.2%

DAL +25.6%

DAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.7	17.1	15.6	108.6	104.2	102.8
season	15.5	15.4		101.6	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.3	15.7	20.5	16.2	13.7	16.7
HOU	17.2	16.3	16.5	18.1	17.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.74	8	-6	14	16.2	18.4	-2.20	17.4	16.2	1.24
Brandan Wright	62	62	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-11	24	15.8	18.6	-2.87	17.0	17.2	-0.13
Jason Terry	64	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.52	3	-1	4	17.2	15.7	1.46	17.2	16.8	0.44
Vince Carter	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	0	2	17.1	16.5	0.58	17.7	16.7	0.98
Brian Cardinal	5	6	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-2	6	17.4	16.7	0.71	19.5	16.9	2.57
Shawn Marion	64	66	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	3	-4	16.3	17.7	-1.34	17.0	17.4	-0.46
Jason Kidd	63	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.44	-11	13	-24	16.6	17.1	-0.54	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Rodrigue Beaubois	46	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.32	8	-6	14	16.3	17.1	-0.76	16.3	17.9	-1.62
Lamar Odom	23	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	7	-12	18.4	16.2	2.21	15.5	17.6	-2.08
Ian Mahinmi	31	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	15	-28	18.6	15.8	2.87	17.5	16.9	0.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	33	33	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.41	-2	0	-2	17.2	17.0	0.23	15.5	17.4	-1.88
Samuel Dalembert	49	47	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-8	14	16.6	17.6	-1.04	18.2	15.2	2.95
Courtney Fortson	10	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	18.4	16.9	1.46	13.0	17.1	-4.08
Luis Scola	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-11	20	16.5	19.0	-2.55	16.9	16.3	0.54
Patrick Patterson	24	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	19.0	16.5	2.55	16.3	16.9	-0.54
Chandler Parsons	84	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	16.5	21.4	-4.83	16.6	17.5	-0.86
Courtney Lee	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.54	1	-3	4	17.5	15.5	1.96	16.7	16.8	-0.13
Goran Dragic	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-2	2	17.0	18.1	-1.13	17.4	11.5	5.88
Marcus Camby	45	44	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.48	-13	11	-24	17.9	16.4	1.51	15.7	17.7	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	89.4%
CLE 86, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.16,0.26,0	88.2%
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	87.9%